Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Overview
New England Revolution welcome Charlotte FC to Gillette Stadium in an important MLS clash. New England shows a stronger historical edge and home advantage, while Charlotte remains a solid side with better form this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC holds a better overall season record (14-2-11) compared to New England Revolution (7-7-12). However, New England has an advantage defensively with 9 clean sheets and a solid recent away win vs Columbus. New Englandβs home performance has room to improve (3-8-2), while Charlotte is consistent but struggles away.
- New England has dominated recent meetings with Charlotte, winning 5 of the last 6 including a notable 1-0 away win earlier this season and undefeated (3-0-0) at Gillette Stadium against Charlotte.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting starting XI significantly.
- New England hosts the match during their Mental Health and Wellness Match, which is likely to boost team morale and motivation. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for late August in Massachusetts.
- New England seeks to improve poor home form and capitalize on historical dominance at Gillette, motivated by recent strong away performances. Charlotte aims to remain steady and capitalize on New Englandβs home vulnerabilities but must overcome historical struggles at this venue.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 180, New England Revolution: 125, Draw: 285 | New England Revolution | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC +50: -159, New England Revolution -0.5: 119 | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 135 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 19% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 41% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with total goals under 2.5
Predicted Score: 1-0