Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Game Overview
New England Revolution hosts CF Montreal in an MLS matchup where New England has a slight home advantage and better recent form, while Montreal struggles away.
Key Factors to Consider
- New England holds a 6-7-10 record with a negative goal difference (-2) but better defensive stats and higher points per match (1.09). Montreal has a 3-6-15 record, struggling offensively and defensively on the road.
- Recent matchups favor New England, who show stronger home performances and modest success against CF Montreal.
- No major injuries reported for either side impacting starting goalkeepers; Aljaz Ivacic (New England) and Jonathan Sirois (Montreal) are both expected to start.
- Match played at New Englandβs home ground, Gillette Stadium, providing home advantage and support, with no significant weather or scheduling issues noted.
- New England aims to improve their standing and capitalize on home form, while Montreal is motivated to catch points but shows form volatility.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New England -120, Draw 275, CF Montreal 300 | New England Revolution | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | New England -0.5 (-125), CF Montreal +50 (-106) | New England Revolution -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-127), Under 2.5 (-105) | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New England Revolution 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New England Revolution win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 goal spread, with a total under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1