Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 3 May 2025
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen
Game Overview
NEC Nijmegen (13th) faces Willem II (16th) in an Eredivisie clash, with NEC dominating historical head-to-head records (17 wins vs. 3). Both teams are struggling for form, but NEC holds a significant edge in historical performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- NEC in poor form (2 away wins), Willem II winless in last 5 matches. NEC's home advantage could be pivotal given Willem II's away record.
- NEC won 17 of 28 meetings (3 losses), with 41:24 aggregate goals. Recent H2H shows NEC as consistent favorites.
- No specific injury data available from sources.
- No weather/stadium concerns reported. Match played at NEC's home ground (Goffertstadion).
- Both teams battling mid-lower table positions, potentially influencing defensive tactics.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NEC -170 / Draw 295 / Willem II 440 | NEC Nijmegen Win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | NEC -1 (100) / Willem II +1 (-120) | Willem II +1 Cover | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 (100) / Under 2.75 (-120) | Under 2.75 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NEC Nijmegen -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NEC Nijmegen win (1-0 or 2-1) due to H2H dominance and home advantage, though low-scoring game likely given teams' recent forms.
Predicted Score: 2-1 (NEC Nijmegen)