Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
The MLS regular-season match between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union is set at GEODIS Park. Both teams are competitive in the league, with previous encounters showing a relatively balanced rivalry. Nashville SC will benefit from home advantage, while Philadelphia Union brings a historically stronger head-to-head record overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC have shown solid home form recently, while Philadelphia Union have been consistent but slightly less dominant away. Both teams have tactical depth and dynamic offensive options, making this a potentially close and tactical match.
- In prior meetings, Philadelphia Union leads with 3 wins to Nashville SC's 1, alongside 3 draws, indicating a slight edge to the away team historically. However, recent form and home advantage may balance this aspect.
- No explicit injury reports are available from the sources; thus, no significant absences are expected to drastically affect lineups for either side.
- The match occurs on a weekend with celebratory events for the 4th of July, including a fireworks show post-match, which might energize the home crowd and players. Road closures and parking restrictions are in place but should not impact team performance directly.
- Given the mid-season timing, both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their standings. Nashville SC's home crowd support and special event atmosphere may provide extra incentive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC: -110, Philadelphia Union: 275, Draw: 290 | Nashville SC win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Nashville SC -0.5: -110, Philadelphia Union +50: -110 | Nashville SC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC to edge a close match leveraging home advantage and strong team cohesion, but expect a competitive game with defensive discipline from Philadelphia Union.
Predicted Score: 2-1