Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Geodis Park, Nashville, USA
Game Overview
Nashville SC and Orlando City SC face off in an MLS matchup at Geodis Park with both teams closely ranked—Nashville 3rd and Orlando City 4th. Nashville has been strong defensively with 31 goals conceded and 9 clean sheets, while Orlando has a decent defensive record but slightly weaker goalkeeping save percentage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC holds a 14-5-8 record averaging 1.74 points per game with a +13 goal differential (44 scored, 31 conceded). Orlando City SC stands at 13-8-6, conceding more goals and with a slightly inferior save percentage (69.0% vs Nashville's 69.3%).
- Recent head-to-head meetings suggest a competitive matchup with Nashville holding a slight edge at home. Both teams have shown balanced play in their encounters this season.
- No specific injury reports available, suggesting both teams likely field near full strength squads including starting goalies Joe Willis (Nashville) and Pedro Gallese (Orlando).
- Home advantage favors Nashville SC playing at Geodis Park. Current form shows some inconsistencies with Nashville having recent losses on the road but strong at home, while Orlando’s away form is moderate.
- Nashville SC is pushing to consolidate their high rank with important MLS playoff implications, motivating a strong home performance. Orlando City SC aims to keep pace with Nashville for top table positioning, adding to their motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC: -110, Orlando City SC: 260, Draw: 285 | Nashville SC | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Nashville SC -0.5: -114, Orlando City SC +50: -116 | Nashville SC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -152, Under 2.5: 114 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC to win on the moneyline, with the match finishing under 2.5 goals and Nashville covering the -0.5 spread
Predicted Score: 1-0