Match Analysis: Nashville SC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Nashville SC Home Stadium
Game Overview
This MLS Round of 16 playoff match features a tight contest between Nashville SC and Inter Miami CF. Inter Miami enters as the slight favorite, having dominated previous encounters this season and holding a strong attacking record led by Lionel Messi.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Miami has outperformed Nashville SC significantly this season with a superior points tally (65 vs. 54) and strong attacking metrics, including consistently scoring over 1.5 goals in recent matches. Nashville SC has struggled to contain Inter Miami, falling 2-5 at home in a recent match and failing to adapt in the second leg.
- Inter Miami has won all three meetings against Nashville SC in the 2025 season, including playoff and regular season matches, demonstrating clear dominance.
- No major injury details currently reported for either squad that significantly impact key players including Inter Miami's attacking core and Nashville's starting XI.
- Playing in front of home fans may provide a minimal boost for Nashville SC but likely insufficient to overturn Inter Miami's form and confidence. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral without adverse impacts.
- Inter Miami is highly motivated to reach the MLS quarterfinals and continue their campaign with Messi pushing to break scoring records. Nashville SC is fighting to advance but has shown inconsistencies and tactical weaknesses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Miami CF: +146, Nashville SC: +157, Draw: +275 | Inter Miami CF | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Inter Miami CF: 0 -115, Nashville SC: 0 -105 | Inter Miami CF -0 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: +100, Under 3.5: -120 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Miami CF 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Miami to win outright on the moneyline, with an expectation of a high scoring game exceeding 3.5 total goals given both teamsβ attacking qualities and previous results.
Predicted Score: 2-3