Match Analysis: Napoli vs Genoa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 11, 2025
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy
Game Overview
Napoli, currently atop the Serie A table, is set to face Genoa, who are ranked 13th. Napoli's strong form and home advantage make them favorites to win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli has been in excellent form, winning several recent matches. Genoa has shown inconsistency, with recent losses and wins.
- Recent head-to-head data shows Napoli generally performing better against Genoa.
- No specific injury reports are mentioned, but Napoli's squad depth is generally favorable.
- Home advantage for Napoli could play a significant role.
- Napoli's motivation is high to maintain their lead, while Genoa seeks to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Napoli: -335, Genoa: 1000, Draw: 420 | Napoli win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Spread | Genoa: 1.5 -118, Napoli: -1.5 -102 | Napoli to cover the spread | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -122, Under: 2.25 102 | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Napoli -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Napoli is likely to win this match based on their current form and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Napoli 2 – 0 Genoa