Match Analysis: Nantes vs Rennes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Game Overview
The Ligue 1 matchup between Nantes and Rennes sees Rennes favored due to stronger early season form and superior head-to-head record. Nantes struggles at 14th place with just one home win so far, while Rennes sits 6th with solid recent performance including a 3-1 away win over Lyon.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nantes have 3 points from 4 games, winning only once at home; they lost recent match 0-1 vs Nice. Rennes has 7 points from 4 games with two wins and a strong 3-1 away victory last time out.
- Rennes have dominated recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, including high scoring wins (3-2, 2-1). Nantes' only win was an outlier.
- No major injury reports impacting key players were found, suggesting lineups will be near full strength for both sides.
- Nantes will try to leverage home advantage at La Beaujoire, but Rennes' momentum and confidence on the road is a significant factor.
- Nantes is eager to escape bottom-table pressure and must capitalize on home games. Rennes aims to consolidate their place in European qualification spots, maintaining positive form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nantes: +255, Rennes: +109, Draw: +230 | Rennes | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Nantes +25: +102, Rennes -0.25: -122 | Rennes -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -125 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Rennes 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Rennes at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rennes moneyline win, Rennes -0.25 spread, Under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1