Match Analysis: Nantes vs Metz – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau
Game Overview
The Ligue 1 match between Nantes and Metz is set for November 2, 2025, at 16:15 UTC. Nantes has home advantage playing at Stade de la Beaujoire. Both teams have had mixed recent performances in the 2025/26 season, with Nantes generally stronger but vulnerable, and Metz struggling near the bottom of the table but having scored an impressive upset win recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nantes shows relatively solid home form and better overall squad quality but recently had a high-scoring loss. Metz is bottom-placed and winless for their first nine games but stunned second-place Lens with a 2-0 victory, showing potential for resilience and counterattack. Nantes tends to have low-scoring encounters vs Metz historically.
- In the last 11 meetings across all competitions, 10 have seen under 2.5 goals, indicating tight and low-scoring clashes between Nantes and Metz.
- No specific injury reports were available for either team in the data sources, suggesting key players are likely available.
- Playing at home gives Nantes some advantage. Metzβs recent surprise win could boost team morale despite being bottom of the league. Both teams' playing style leads to many corners, highlighted as a betting value.
- Nantes will aim to secure points to push higher in the standings and avoid relegation worry; Metz seeks to continue their breakout moment and escape the bottom of the table. Motivation is balanced but Nantes holds the psychological edge playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nantes: -113, Metz: 295, Draw: 255 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Nantes: -0.5 -112, Metz: 50 -108 | Nantes -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nantes 53% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Nantes at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A cautious match likely to end in a draw with under 2.5 goals but with a notable number of corners due to the teams' aggressive width and crosses.
Predicted Score: 1-1