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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with only one point from two games and have yet to secure a win this season. Historically, Sporting have a strong record against Nacional, winning 90% of recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have shown impressive offensive and defensive form, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in the first two matches. Nacional have struggled offensively and defensively, scoring only one goal while conceding three.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a dominant recent record over Nacional, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter and multiple wins in their last ten meetings.
  • Nacional have significant absences, including Brazilian forward Isaac and defender Miguel Baeza, potentially weakening their attack and defense. Sporting Lisbon reportedly have no major injury concerns affecting their starting lineup.
  • The match takes place at Estadio da Madeira, home to Nacional, but their poor recent home form and Sporting’s superior overall quality and momentum mitigate home advantage.
  • Sporting Lisbon are motivated to maintain their perfect start and reinforce their status as title contenders, while Nacional fight to find their first win and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 875, Sporting Lisbon: -385, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Nacional +1.75: -122, Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (Moneyline), with a spread cover of -1.75 goals and over 3 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-23 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal Game Overview Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with […]

August 23, 2025 Nacional Soccer Sporting Lisbon

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Braga vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

Braga hosts Moreirense in a Portugal Primeira Liga match where Braga, historically dominant at home with a long unbeaten streak against Moreirense, aims to extend their superior recent form. Braga ranks 7th and Moreirense 4th in the league, with Braga showing stronger attack and defensive stats overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has scored an average of 2.5 goals per match and conceded 1.0 in recent fixtures, maintaining a 4-match unbeaten run. Moreirense, with 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded on average, has shown inconsistency with only one win in the last four away games. Braga's attack is more potent and consistent.
  • Braga has won 20 of the last 27 meetings, including an 11-match unbeaten streak against Moreirense (11 wins). They have scored at least 2 goals in the majority of these encounters, reflecting a strong historical dominance.
  • Braga's Jonatas Noro is out injured, while Moreirense has no notable player absences reported.
  • Braga plays at home at Estádio Municipal de Braga, where they have a strong winning record. No major external disruptions or weather concerns are reported. Moreirense traveled for an away match which may contribute to slight fatigue but no significant disadvantage is expected.
  • Braga, positioned 7th, need points to climb the table and break into European qualification spots. Moreirense, 4th, also target a win to consolidate their position. Braga's recent better form and home advantage provide them with a slight motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -265, Moreirense FC: 700, Draw: 375 Braga ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Braga -1.25: -115, Moreirense +1.25: -105 Braga -1.25 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 Over 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win outright (Moneyline), cover -1.25 goals spread, and over 2.75 total goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Benfica vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Casa Pia in a Liga Portugal Betclic clash. Benfica sits 3rd in the table, while Casa Pia is near the relegation zone at 16th. Benfica is a heavy favorite, with Casa Pia struggling defensively and lacking recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in mixed form but remains strong at home, winning two of their last home games. Casa Pia is also in mixed form, but their away record is poor and they recently lost 5-3, exposing defensive frailties.
  • Benfica has dominated the H2H, winning 4 of the last 6 meetings. In the last 8 overall meetings, Benfica has 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. Casa Pia has only 2 wins in 8 meetings, both away. Benfica’s home H2H record is 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates.
  • Benfica enjoys a strong home advantage at Estádio da Luz, while Casa Pia’s defensive record is a major concern, especially on the road.
  • Benfica is fighting for a top-three finish and European qualification, while Casa Pia is battling to avoid relegation and is under pressure after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -675, away: 1400, draw: 675 Benfica ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread home: -2 -112, away: 2 -108 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under over: 3 -112, under: 3 -108 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win by at least two goals and over 3 goals in the match.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4-1 Casa Pia


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Famalicão vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Game Overview

FC Porto, currently leading the Portuguese Primeira Liga, faces a resilient Famalicão side. Porto has an impressive winning streak and strong away performance, while Famalicão boasts a stout defense and is motivated to maintain their top-five standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto sits 1st in the league with a strong recent form undefeated in last 6 matches, scoring 9 goals in the last 5. Famalicão is 5th, showing defensive solidity conceding just 0.4 goals per game recently.
  • FC Porto dominates head-to-head with 11 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 14 meetings. Porto has not lost to Famalicão in their last 12 encounters.
  • Famalicão misses Oscar Aranda due to injury, while FC Porto is missing Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez.
  • The match is at Famalicão's home stadium, which may give some advantage, but Porto is a top-ranked away team in the league.
  • Porto aims to extend their lead at the top, while Famalicão seeks to consolidate their strong league position, making both teams motivated but Porto with stronger incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: 425, FC Porto: -163, Draw: 295 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Famalicão +75: 105, FC Porto -0.75: -125 FC Porto -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto moneyline win, FC Porto -0.75 spread, under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 0-2


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD faces Gil Vicente in a Primeira Liga clash with both teams in contrasting form. Gil Vicente sits 4th with a strong defensive record, while AVS is near the relegation zone with poor recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente is in excellent form, winning three consecutive matches and boasting the league's best defense (4 goals conceded in 10 games, 8 clean sheets). AVS is in a five-game losing streak, with only 22 goals scored and 48 conceded in 29 matches. Gil Vicente's recent 1-0 win over Santa Clara highlights their defensive solidity and ability to grind out results.
  • The last meeting ended 1-0 in favor of AVS, but Gil Vicente has won the majority of recent encounters. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games in their H2H, with several matches ending 1-0 or 0-0.
  • No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • AVS is playing at home, but their home form is poor (55% possession and 5 shots on target in their last home game, but still lost). Gil Vicente has shown resilience on the road, winning away matches despite lower possession.
  • Gil Vicente is fighting for a top-four finish and European qualification, while AVS is battling to avoid relegation. Both teams have strong motivation, but Gil Vicente's recent form and defensive record give them a clear edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 395, away: -136, draw: 250 Gil Vicente ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: 75 -120, away: -0.75 100 Gil Vicente -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2.25 -108, under: 2.25 -112 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 36%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win and keep a clean sheet. Their defensive strength and AVS's attacking struggles make a 1-0 or 2-0 away win the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: AVS 0-1 Gil Vicente


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CF Estrela vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

A tightly contested Primeira Liga match between CF Estrela, struggling at home with a poor record, and Nacional, slightly better overall but inconsistent away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora is 13th in the league with 10 points from 10 games, showing inconsistency and a weak home record. Nacional sits 9th with 11 points, showing slightly better form but also inconsistency, especially away.
  • Historically close matchups favor Nacional slightly, with recent results indicating low probability of decisive wins for either side.
  • No critical absences reported for either side; teams expected to field strong lineups.
  • No reported adverse weather or external issues; neutral conditions favor a balanced contest.
  • Both teams under pressure to improve standings—Estrela to avoid relegation proximity; Nacional to secure mid-table stability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +178, away: +162, draw: +212 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: 0 -102, away: 0 -118 Nacional 0 Spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over: 2.25 -105, under: 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Nacional on spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Santa Clara vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara, struggling in recent weeks, hosts title-contending Sporting Lisbon, who are in strong domestic and European form. Sporting are clear favorites, but Santa Clara have historically performed better at home and could frustrate the visitors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara lost 1-0 to Gil Vicente in their last match, demonstrating continued struggles to convert chances. They dominated possession (62%) but only managed 4 shots on target, indicative of offensive inefficiency[2]. Sporting CP are in excellent domestic form, riding a five-game road winning streak in the league, and recently drew 1-1 away to Juventus in the Champions League, underscoring their readiness for tough matches[2].
  • Historically, Sporting have dominated this fixture: 15 matches played, 13 Sporting wins, 2 Santa Clara wins, 0 draws. Average goals: 2.6 per game, with more action in the second half[1]. The last meeting between these teams in April 2025 ended 0-1 in favor of Sporting, with Santa Clara having only 36% possession and 1 shot on target[1].
  • No significant injury reports for either side based on available data.
  • No major external factors reported; normal conditions expected.
  • Santa Clara are desperate for points at home to avoid a relegation battle, while Sporting are motivated to keep pace at the top of the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara: +700, Sporting Lisbon: -250, Draw: +340 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Santa Clara +1.25 (-125), Sporting Lisbon -1.25 (+105) Santa Clara +1.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-125), Under 2.25 (+105) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will control possession and create more chances, but Santa Clara will defend resolutely, leading to a lower-scoring game than recent H2H encounters. Sporting are likely to win, but a heavy victory is far from certain.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Tondela vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

A closely contested Liga Portugal fixture where mid-table Vitória SC face bottom-placed Tondela at their home ground. Vitória SC have a slight recent form edge but Tondela show strong home scoring tendencies.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC sit higher in the table (8th-10th) with mixed away form (40% win rate) while Tondela are struggling near relegation (17th) but have strong home attacking output with 70% of home matches over 2.5 goals. Both teams concede regularly, suggesting open play.
  • Historically, Vitória SC hold a lead with 8 wins to Tondela's 5 in their last 16 encounters. Matches tend to be competitive with moderate scoring averages.
  • No specific injury reports available which could significantly impact starting lineups, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • No notable external factors such as extreme weather or travel fatigue reported. Match at Tondela's home grounds favors the hosts' attacking style.
  • Tondela face relegation danger motivating strong home performance; Vitória SC seek to distance themselves from mid-table, incentivizing a positive result on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tondela: +174, Vitória SC: +166, Draw: +212 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Tondela: -105, Vitória SC: -115 Vitória SC 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.25: +108, Under 2.25: -128 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Alverca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Alverca Home Ground

Game Overview

Alverca hosts Rio Ave FC in a Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams are struggling to find form, with Alverca especially poor in defense at home and Rio Ave showing moderate recent performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alverca has won no matches in four league games, scoring 2 goals and conceding 7, with particularly weak home defense (5 goals conceded in 2 matches). Rio Ave has also failed to win but has a slightly better attack and defense ratio in away matches.
  • Limited recent data indicates no wins for either side with at least one draw; Rio Ave has historically edged these encounters slightly but does not dominate decisively.
  • No specific injury data available for either team; no major absences reported, which suggests lineups should be near full strength.
  • The match is at Alverca's home ground; no unusual external conditions or disruptions noted. Betting odds suggest a close match with slight home favoritism.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points early in the season to avoid relegation threats; Rio Ave may have marginally higher motivation given recent draws and competitive performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: +127, Rio Ave FC: +220, Draw: +220 Alverca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Alverca -0.25: -105, Rio Ave +25: -115 Alverca -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Alverca win; Spread: Alverca -0.25; Over/Under: Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Estoril vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Arouca in a mid-table Primeira Liga clash vital for both teams to improve standings. Estoril has a slight form edge boosted by a recent 4-0 home win, while Arouca struggles for consistency away. Both teams have scored but also conceded regularly, suggesting a moderately open game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril is in better recent form with a dominant 4-0 home victory in their last match, holding 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses at home this season. Arouca has been less consistent, with more away defeats and lower goal output compared to Estoril's 15 home goals versus Arouca's 10 away.
  • H2H record over 20 matches is balanced: Estoril 7 wins, Arouca 8 wins, 5 draws. Their last meeting ended 1-1. Average goals per game in this fixture is 2.85, indicating moderately scoring contests.
  • No significant injury news impacting starting lineups for either side has been reported recently, so both teams should be near full strength.
  • Playing at home gives Estoril an advantage in familiar conditions. Weather or travel disruptions are not reported. The match timing allows full rest for Estoril after prior strong performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the league table, but Estoril's recent commanding win can boost confidence and desire to consolidate home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -101 Estoril ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -122 Estoril -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril Moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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