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Nacional vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

A tightly contested Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Famalicão, with Famalicão in better recent form but Nacional holding home advantage. Expect a competitive match likely decided by narrow margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão are unbeaten in their last five matches and regarded as favorites, showing consistent defensive resilience but less prolific attack. Nacional have struggled somewhat at home with one win and three losses in four matches, though they have shown fighting spirit in recent games.
  • Slight edge to Nacional at home with 3 wins in 6 matches between the sides. Last official fixture ended 2-1 to Nacional. Average goals per match historically high around 2.8, with both sides showing offensive capabilities.
  • No significant injury updates reported affecting key players for either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground which can boost their motivation. No unusual external disruptions identified.
  • Nacional motivated to secure points to improve home record and league standing, while Famalicão aiming to extend unbeaten streak and capitalize on momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão +128, Nacional +210, Draw +230 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Famalicão -0.25 -102, Nacional +25 -118 Famalicão -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Famalicão win; Spread: Famalicão -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Nacional vs. Famalicão Prediction

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Famalicão – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-11-01 Time: 3:30 PM UTC Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal Game Overview A tightly contested Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Famalicão, with Famalicão in better recent form but Nacional holding home advantage. Expect a competitive match likely decided by narrow margins. Key Factors […]

Famalicão Nacional November 1, 2025 Soccer

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

Casa Pia vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts CF Estrela Amadora in a tightly contested Portugal Primeira Liga match where both teams struggle near the relegation zone. Casa Pia shows slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Estrela have offensive challenges away from home. Historical encounters indicate low scoring and balanced competitiveness.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has 2 wins in last 9 matches with a deccent home record but fragile defense. Estrela Amadora struggles on the road with fewer goals scored and a leaky defense, holding just 6 wins overall compared to Casa Pia's 11.
  • In 6 matches, Casa Pia and Estrela have won 3 each, with no draws. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia. Matches tend to be low scoring with an average of 1.83 total goals per game.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting lineups from available sources; both teams likely fielding expected lineups.
  • No significant external disruptions reported. Venue at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, a neutral-style stadium, may reduce usual home field impact but Casa Pia still holds advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb away from lower table relegation threats. Casa Pia slightly more stable with recent form, increasing their push for points at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 105, CF Estrela: 290, Draw: 215 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Casa Pia -0.5: 105, CF Estrela +50: -125 Casa Pia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win the match with a low-scoring affair expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Rio Ave FC vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Rio Ave

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC hosts Estoril in a tightly contested Primeira Liga fixture. Both teams are in mid-table form, with Rio Ave showing solid home resilience and Estoril struggling for consistency on the road. Recent head-to-head matches have been close, and both sides are motivated to climb the standings. Injuries to key Estoril players and Rio Ave's strong home record tilt the balance slightly in favor of the hosts, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave has won 2 of their last 5 matches and drawn several others, maintaining a solid home record. Estoril has been inconsistent, alternating losses with occasional wins and currently sits just above the relegation zone. Rio Ave averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match, while Estoril averages 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per away match.
  • In 28 official meetings, Rio Ave has 14 wins, Estoril 8, and 6 draws. The last match ended 2-1 to Rio Ave. The average total goals per match in H2H is 2.79, with a slight edge to Rio Ave at home.
  • Estoril is missing Sanchez, Xeka, and Guitane due to injuries, weakening their attacking options. Rio Ave has no major suspensions or injuries reported.
  • Rio Ave has conceded in 17 of their last 19 home games, indicating vulnerability at the back. Estoril is likely to adopt a cautious approach given their injury crisis and Rio Ave's home strength.
  • Both teams are eager to climb the table, but Rio Ave has a slight edge in motivation as they look to extend their unbeaten home run and push for a top-half finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 146, away: 195, draw: 215 Rio Ave FC Not available
Spread home: -134, away: 112 Rio Ave FC 0 Not available
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave FC to win the match.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, a top-tier Primeira Liga side with solid recent form and home advantage, faces Alverca, a lower-ranked team with mixed recent results and a heavy recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon holds strong form, including a 3-0 away win at Tondela and a 2-1 home win versus Marseille in the Champions League, demonstrating good offensive and defensive balance. Alverca suffered a heavy 0-4 home defeat to Gil Vicente but managed some wins earlier in the season.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon holds a superior record (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) versus Alverca across multiple meetings, but Sporting has not won the last official match at home, losing 0-2 to Alverca recently. However, Sporting's squad quality and overall performances remain stronger.
  • Sporting Lisbon has key injuries with Daniel Braganca and Nuno Santos doubtful due to cruciate ligament issues, but overall squad depth mitigates impact. No notable injury data reported for Alverca.
  • Match at Sporting's home ground with favorable conditions; psychological edge due to recent Champions League successes. No significant external disruptions noted.
  • Sporting Lisbon highly motivated to maintain domestic league dominance and recover from previous cup loss to Alverca by leveraging squad strength at home. Alverca’s motivation is to secure points but recent heavy loss impacts confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -1028, Alverca: 1971, Draw: 896 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread Sporting Lisbon -2.5: -114, Alverca +2.5: -116 Sporting Lisbon -2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: -109, Under 3.5: -121 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on moneyline and cover the -2.5 spread; game likely to be moderately high scoring but under 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Moreirense FC vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-27
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC hosts FC Porto in the Primeira Liga, where Porto is strongly favored due to their superior form and head-to-head record. Moreirense has shown recent improvement in home matches, winning four consecutively, while Porto remains unbeaten in their last few away games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto is in excellent form, currently leading the Primeira Liga, while Moreirense ranks fifth. Porto has a significantly better goal-scoring record, averaging 2.38 goals per game compared to Moreirense's 1.5.
  • In their past 27 meetings, Porto has won 21 times, with Moreirense winning twice. However, Moreirense has shown resilience in recent home games.
  • FC Porto has injuries to Nehuén Pérez and Luuk de Jong, which could impact their performance. Moreirense has no reported absentees.
  • The match's importance for both teams varies, but Porto's motivation to maintain their lead and secure a UEFA Champions League spot remains high.
  • FC Porto is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their top spot, while Moreirense aims to continue their home winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -340 (FC Porto), 875 (Moreirense FC), 435 (Draw) FC Porto ★★★★☆ 86%
Spread -1.5 -102 (FC Porto), 1.5 -118 (Moreirense FC) FC Porto -1.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.75 +102, Under 2.75 -122 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 82%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win, over 2.75 goals.

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3-1 Moreirense FC


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Braga vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

This Primeira Liga match pits Sporting Braga against Casa Pia. Braga is currently in the 8th position, while Casa Pia is in the 14th. Braga has a strong head-to-head record against Casa Pia but has struggled in recent matches against them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has been inconsistent but generally stronger than Casa Pia in league form. Casa Pia has experienced mixed results, winning two away games but struggling overall.
  • Historically, Braga has won four out of eight matches against Casa Pia, but Casa Pia has won the last two encounters.
  • Braga has players injured, including Jonatas Noro and Mario Dorgeles. Casa Pia has Claudio Mendes, Kelian Wa Saka, Kiki, and Ricardo Batista injured.
  • Home advantage often plays a significant role in Portuguese football, and Braga's fans can be a formidable force.
  • Both teams are motivated; Braga to maintain their position and Casa Pia to escape relegation zone pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -245, 675, 345 Braga ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -1.25 -102, 1.25 -118 Braga -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under 2.5 -108, 2.5 -112 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win but with a cautious approach due to their inconsistency and Casa Pia's recent success.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga win


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Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, currently 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 19 points, hosts struggling Tondela who sit 17th with 5 points. Sporting has a strong away record this season, while Tondela has been poor at home and overall. The quality gap and form clearly favor Sporting Lisbon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon maintains a high win rate (around 66% in recent away matches), showcasing consistent attacking and defensive solidity, whereas Tondela has managed only 2 wins out of 16 historical meetings and currently endures poor form at home with no recent wins.
  • Out of 16 matches between them, Sporting has won 11 (69%), Tondela 2 (13%), with 3 draws (18%), indicating a clear historical dominance by Sporting Lisbon.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect expected performance.
  • No known external or weather factors impacting the match. The game is at Tondela's home ground but their weak home performance limits home advantage effect.
  • Sporting Lisbon aims to consolidate their position near the top of the league and is motivated by strong title contention, whereas Tondela faces relegation danger and will be desperate to gain points but lacks quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +875, draw: +500, away: -390 away ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread sporting_minus_1.75: -102, tondela_plus_1.75: -118 sporting -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 631%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Lisbon at 631% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will win comfortably, keeping a clean sheet, in a low-scoring game under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Famalicão vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Vitória SC in a mid-table Portugal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have had mixed recent form with Famalicão slightly favored due to home advantage and marginally better recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão ranks 7th with 11W-10D-8L and shows stronger home form (1W, 2D, 1L) compared to Vitória SC’s mixed away results (1W in last four away matches). Vitória SC sits 5th with 12W-12D-5L overall but has dropped points away recently.
  • In the last 13 meetings, Famalicão has won 2 matches, showing slight struggles historically against Vitória SC. Recent H2H show Famalicão’s home ground advantage with 1W, 2D, 1L over Vitória SC.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI significantly.
  • Match played at Famalicão's home ground which provides modest advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues known that could affect performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league standings with Vitória SC just above Famalicão; this promotes a competitive contest but slight edge to home side aiming to climb higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: -104, Vitória SC: 290, Draw: 235 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Famalicão -0.5: -102, Vitória SC +50: -118 Famalicão -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match finishing under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Estoril vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Nacional in a Primeira Liga match, marking Matchday 9. Estoril is looking to improve its standings from 16th place, while Nacional aims to maintain its 10th position. Estoril has recently shown resilience, while Nacional has been inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril has struggled at home, winning only 20% of their last 5 home games. Nacional, however, has performed better away, winning 60% of their first 4 away games.
  • Historical data between the two teams was not provided, but Estoril's recent victory against Os Belenenses suggests potential momentum.
  • No significant injury updates were provided.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Estoril.
  • Estoril is highly motivated to secure points given their current league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril: 121, Nacional: 212, Draw: 245 Estoril ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Estoril -0.25 -110, Nacional 25 -110 Estoril -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The highest expected value plays are highlighted below.

Predicted Score: Estoril 2, Nacional 1


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Benfica vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This matchup sees Benfica, currently ranked 3rd in Liga Portugal, host Arouca, who are 11th. Benfica has historically dominated Arouca, winning 17 of their last 20 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in stronger form, with better recent results and statistical performance indicators like average goals scored and conceded. Arouca struggles with consistency.
  • Benfica has a significant historical advantage, winning 17 of 20 past matches against Arouca.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Motivation to win is high for Benfica as they pursue a strong league position.
  • Benfica needs wins to maintain their contention for European spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -675, Arouca 1300, Draw 725 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 -122, Arouca +2 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is the clear favorite, with strong historical and recent form advantages.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4 – Arouca 1


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