Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs Willem II – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, Netherlands
Game Overview
The match between NAC Breda and Willem II is pivotal in the Eredivisie, with both teams struggling in the standings. NAC Breda is ranked 15th and Willem II is 16th, and the outcome can significantly impact their positions, especially for Willem II, which might be heading into a relegation playoff.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have been performing poorly in recent matches. NAC Breda has failed to win their last 14 matches, while Willem II has lost 10 of their last 11 matches.
- Historically, NAC Breda and Willem II have seen high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 home matches for NAC Breda against Willem II.
- NAC Breda will be missing Roy Kortsmit, Dion Versluis, and Boyd Lucassen due to injuries. Willem II is missing Dani Mathieu, Cisse Sandra, and Runar Thor Sigurgeirsson, but Amine Lachkar returns from suspension.
- The match is crucial for both teams, especially for Willem II, as they fight to avoid relegation directly or through playoffs.
- Willem II is highly motivated to secure a better position in the standings, while NAC Breda seeks to end their losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -114 for NAC Breda, 275 for Willem II, 255 for Draw | NAC Breda Win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | -0.5 for NAC Breda (-114), 50 for Willem II (-106) | NAC Breda Cover | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 (-103), Under 2.75 (-117) | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NAC Breda -16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
NAC Breda is slightly favored due to home advantage and recent trends, but Willem II's motivation could lead to a competitive match.
Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of NAC Breda