Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Game Overview
NAC Breda hosts Heracles Almelo in a critical Eredivisie clash where NAC Breda aims to capitalize on Heracles’ poor start to the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- NAC Breda is in slightly better form, sitting 15th with 4 points, while Heracles Almelo is at the bottom with no points from five games. NAC has shown mixed results while Heracles has struggled, impacting morale.
- Historically balanced but with NAC Breda favored recently as Heracles Almelo has not won here in the current season. Previous clashes show opportunities for both sides to score.
- No prominent injury updates affecting either squad according to available data, suggesting both teams can field competitive lineups.
- Match played at NAC Breda’s home ground gives them a familiar environment and slight advantage; no significant external disruptions noted.
- Heracles Almelo is desperate for points to avoid prolonged poor form, while NAC Breda motivated to improve mid-table standing and capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -101, draw: 255, away: 255 | NAC Breda | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | home: 100, away: -120 | NAC Breda -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NAC Breda 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: NAC Breda at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: NAC Breda win; Spread: NAC Breda -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1