Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
Game Overview
Mid-table encounter between two inconsistent sides, with Go Ahead Eagles enjoying better recent form but NAC Breda desperate to end their winless streak at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- NAC Breda have won just two of their last ten league games and have conceded an average of 2.1 goals per game. Go Ahead Eagles have three wins in their last five away matches and have shown more stability on the road[2].
- Go Ahead Eagles have dominated recent encountersβ7 away wins and only 1 home win in 11 matches, with a significant 19-6 goal differential in favor of the Eagles[2]. The last meeting ended 1-1, but historical data favors the visitors[2].
- No major injuries or suspensions reported for either side, based on available previews.
- No major external factors (weather, venue quirks) are indicated at time of analysis.
- Both teams are motivated to move up the table. NAC Breda are under pressure to improve at home, while Go Ahead Eagles are keen to extend their road form[2].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Go Ahead Eagles +195, NAC Breda +128, Draw +250 | Go Ahead Eagles | β β β ββ 63% |
| Spread | Go Ahead Eagles +25 (-120), NAC Breda -0.25 (+100) | Go Ahead Eagles +0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 (-122), Under 2.75 (+102) | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Go Ahead Eagles 24% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Go Ahead Eagles at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Go Ahead Eagles have the momentum and superior recent H2H record to edge this unpredictable affair, most likely by a single goal.
Predicted Score: Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 NAC Breda