Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos, Portugal
Game Overview
Moreirense FC is favored to win against Boavista Porto in this Primeira Liga match, given their current standings and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
Moreirense FC is currently ranked 11th with 28 points, while Boavista Porto is 18th with 15 points. Moreirense has shown better recent form compared to Boavista.
In their last 26 meetings, Moreirense FC won 7 times, with 9 draws, and Boavista Porto won 10 times. The most common result is a 1-1 draw.
No specific injury reports are available for this match.
The match is at Moreirense's home ground, which could provide an advantage.
Moreirense has more motivation to win to improve their league position.
Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Boavista Porto – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-03-16 Time: 8:30 PM UTC Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos, Portugal Game Overview Moreirense FC is favored to win against Boavista Porto in this Primeira Liga match, given their current standings and recent form. Key Factors […]
This matchup sees Benfica, currently ranked 3rd in Liga Portugal, host Arouca, who are 11th. Benfica has historically dominated Arouca, winning 17 of their last 20 encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
Benfica is in stronger form, with better recent results and statistical performance indicators like average goals scored and conceded. Arouca struggles with consistency.
Benfica has a significant historical advantage, winning 17 of 20 past matches against Arouca.
No significant injury reports available for either team.
Motivation to win is high for Benfica as they pursue a strong league position.
Benfica needs wins to maintain their contention for European spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Benfica -675, Arouca 1300, Draw 725
Benfica
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Benfica -2 -122, Arouca +2 102
Benfica -2
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108
Over 3.25
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Benfica -20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.25 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica is the clear favorite, with strong historical and recent form advantages.
A tightly matched Liga Portugal game between CF Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave FC, with both clubs displaying middling form and close historical outcomes in head-to-head encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
CF Estrela ranks 15th and has struggled at home with a high loss rate (50%), scoring an average of 0.75 goals per match while conceding 1.0. Rio Ave, ranked 12th, performs slightly better away with 3 draws in 4 away games and an average of 1.38 goals scored but concedes 1.63 goals on average.
In 12 meetings since 2003, Rio Ave has dominated with 6 wins versus Estrela's 2, and 4 draws. Recent encounters have seen Rio Ave maintain a slight edge, but Estrela has won 2 of their last few home games against Rio Ave. The average goals scored in their matches is moderately low at around 2.3 to 2.8 per game.
No specific injury reports are currently available for either team, indicating a likely full-strength squad for both sides.
The match is played at Estádio José Gomes, which adds some home advantage for Estrela Amadora, but their inconsistency at home tempers this. No significant external factors such as weather disruptions or scheduling congestion are detected.
Both teams sit in lower-mid table with Rio Ave slightly higher, possibly pushing harder to avoid relegation dangers. Estrela has the urgency to improve home form, potentially increasing their motivation, though Rio Ave’s resilience in away matches suggests balanced motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: 162, away: 172, draw: 220
Rio Ave FC
★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread
home: -115, away: -105
Rio Ave FC -0.0
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
over: -110, under: -110
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Rio Ave FC 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Rio Ave FC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Rio Ave FC win. Spread: Rio Ave FC -0.0. Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals.
Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal
Game Overview
Santa Clara (13th, 8 points in 8 games) hosts AVS Futebol SAD (18th, 1 point in 8 games) in a match with clear relegation implications. Santa Clara is favored, having a significantly superior league position and stronger recent form, while AVS has struggled for results all season, especially in attack.
Key Factors to Consider
Santa Clara has 8 points from 8 matches, showing moderate resilience but with 4 losses. AVS has just 1 point, the league's worst record, with major struggles in both scoring and defense. Santa Clara's home performances have been relatively stable, while AVS's away form is dismal.
H2H data is limited (AVS promoted this season), but Santa Clara's higher league stature and current form give them the edge.
No major injury news reported in the data provided.
No significant external factors reported. Weather is not expected to play a decisive role.
Santa Clara needs a win to pull away from the relegation zone; AVS is desperate for any points but badly out of form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Santa Clara -186, AVS +550, Draw +280
Santa Clara
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Santa Clara -1 -102, AVS +1 -118
Santa Clara -1
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25 +108, Under 2.25 -128
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 72%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Santa Clara 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara to win without conceding, likely in a low-scoring game.
Alverca hosts Gil Vicente in a Portugal Primeira Liga match on October 24, 2025. Gil Vicente is currently 4th in the league and has shown strong defensive capabilities, while Alverca faces a challenging opponent.
Key Factors to Consider
Gil Vicente has been solid this season with 5 wins and only 2 losses, emphasizing their defensive strength. Alverca's recent form data is not explicitly provided, but they are generally considered an underdog in this matchup.
Previous head-to-head data between the two teams is not available.
There are no reported significant injuries affecting the teams' lineups.
No external factors like weather or crowd influence are noted as significant.
Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Gil Vicente's league position adds pressure to perform.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alverca: +210, Gil Vicente: +145, Draw: +200
Gil Vicente
★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread
Alverca +25 -130, Gil Vicente -0.25 +110
Gil Vicente -0.25
★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under
Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102
Under 2
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gil Vicente 35%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 43%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente to win with an under 2.5 goals scenario.
Vitória SC hosts Santa Clara in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC has historically dominated the matchup, especially at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Vitória SC currently shows mixed form but is undefeated at home this season. Santa Clara also displays mixed form with only one away win so far.
Vitória SC has won 9 of the last 16 encounters against Santa Clara, including strong performances at home. Recent matches suggest low scoring with under 2.5 goals common.
No specific injury data available; assume both sides have typical squad availability.
The match is at Vitória SC’s home stadium, which is an advantage given their undefeated home streak.
Vitória SC likely motivated to maintain strong home form and improve league standing, while Santa Clara aims to overcome struggles on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
136
Vitória SC
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
102
Vitória SC -0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
-125 / 105
Under 1.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vitória SC 32%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.75 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and under 1.75 goals total.
AVS Futebol SAD, currently at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table without a win this season, faces FC Alverca, who are hovering just above the relegation zone. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their league positions.
Key Factors to Consider
AVS Futebol SAD has struggled significantly, losing all their home matches and scoring only four goals in seven games, while conceding seventeen. Alverca has shown mixed form but secured a notable win against Vitória Guimarães.
Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Alverca's recent performance suggests they have an edge.
No significant injury updates available.
Given the high stakes and AVS's poor home record, external pressure may influence the match.
Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, but Alverca's recent form and confidence from their last win might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alverca: +155, AVS Futebol SAD: +185, Draw: +212
Alverca to win
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Alverca: 0 -122, AVS Futebol SAD: 0 102
Alverca to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over: 2 -130, Under: 2 110
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Alverca 48%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)
CD Nacional hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga match where Nacional struggles at home (no wins in 3 matches) and Moreirense are higher in the standings in 4th place with strong overall form.
Key Factors to Consider
Nacional is 13th with 7 points from 7 matches, 2-1-4 record, with poor home form losing all 3 home games conceding 8 goals. Moreirense sits 4th with 15 points, 5 wins and 2 losses, scoring more goals and boasting better overall form.
Last meeting ended in a draw. Historically, matches tend to be close and low scoring, with both teams prioritizing defense in recent encounters.
No specific injury reports available from data; assume typical squad availability with no major absences reported.
Nacional has home advantage but their defensive frailty at home tempers this. Moreirense's away performance is solid though slightly less potent than at home.
Moreirense motivated to consolidate top-table position while Nacional aims to escape relegation zone and improve home form; high motivation on both sides but differential favors Moreirense.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +135, draw: +210, away: +215
Draw
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
home_-0.25: +102, away_+25: -122
Away +0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_2.25: +102, under_2.25: -122
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 24%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Gil Vicente, sitting 5th in the league, hosts struggling CF Estrela, who are near the bottom with just 7 points. Gil Vicente has recently begun to stabilize results after a period of inconsistency, while Estrela Amadora has shown little attacking threat and defensive fragility on the road. The historical matchup is close, but Gil Vicente’s home advantage and current form could prove decisive.
Key Factors to Consider
Gil Vicente averages 1 goal scored and 1.52 conceded per game, showing inconsistency, but has collected 13 points to Estrela’s 7. Estrela Amadora averages just 0.83 goals scored and concedes 1.46 per game, with frequent goal droughts (11 failures to score in 24 games). Recent matches show Gil Vicente with 2 wins in last 5, Estrela 1 win in last 5. Gil Vicente has a better recent record in terms of points and clean sheets[1][2].
Direct H2H record is very close: last 8 meetings (all competitions since 2003) show 2 wins each, 4 draws[3]. However, in their last three meetings (since 2024), Gil Vicente won 1-0 at home, lost 0-1 away, and drew 1-1 at home[4]. Recent clashes suggest home advantage is meaningful, but away wins are still possible. Over 75% of these games have seen under 2.25 goals[3].
No major injury news reported for either side. Both teams have played with regular lineups recently.
No significant external factors (weather, travel, etc.) identified. Crowd support likely favors Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Gil Vicente is chasing a European spot with a chance to solidify their position. Estrela Amadora is fighting relegation, but their poor form and lack of potency away from home are major concerns. Motivation exists for both, but Estrela's recent performances suggest limited upside.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gil Vicente -146 | Estrela 415 | Draw 265
Gil Vicente
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Gil Vicente -0.75 -110 | Estrela +75 -110
Gil Vicente -0.75
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25 100 | Under 2.25 -120
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gil Vicente -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente to continue their upward trend at home, leveraging their better squad depth and stronger recent results. Expect another low-scoring affair: under 2.25 goals is likely; any clear winner is likely to be Gil Vicente, though a draw is possible if Estrela defends resolutely.
Casa Pia hosts Estoril in a crucial bottom-table clash of Portugal's Primeira Liga. Both teams have struggled in the early season, with Casa Pia just marginally ahead in league position and points. The match presents a balanced but tense contest as both sides seek their first upturn in form.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia holds 7 points from 7 games (2W, 1D, 4L), showing better home form, while Estoril only has 5 points (1W, 2D, 4L). Both teams display defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency.
Recent H2H favors Estoril slightly with 6 wins to Casa Pia's 1 in the last 10, but recent matches have been close including draws, indicating competitiveness.
No significant injury updates available for either side suggesting full squads likely.
The neutral venue of Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior reduces typical home advantage but Casa Pia’s better fan support and familiarity might aid them.
With both clubs near the relegation zone, the motivation is high to secure points. Casa Pia's slight points edge and home advantage increase their urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia +152, Estoril +180, Draw +220
Casa Pia
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Casa Pia 0 -125, Estoril 0 +105
Casa Pia 0 Spread
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112
Over 2.25 Goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Casa Pia 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
