Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Internacional – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-15
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Game Overview
Mirassol, with strong home form, hosts Internacional who have struggled away recently. Both teams frequently score and concede, making the game likely to produce goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol excels at home with a 70% win rate over last 10 home matches and no losses, showing strong defense and attack consistency. Internacional struggles away with only 2 wins in 10 matches and higher losses (40%).
- Recent H2H saw a 1-1 draw in May 2025 at Internacional’s home, with Internacional favored but Mirassol demonstrating competitiveness.
- No significant injury news reported affecting key players for either side, maintaining team strength and balance.
- Venue is Mirassol’s home ground, giving them a familiar environment and fan support advantage. No adverse weather issues are expected.
- Mirassol appears highly motivated to continue their strong home performance and climb standings; Internacional needs points but faces a tough away challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol: 108, Draw: 230, Internacional: 260 | Mirassol | ★★★★☆ 73% |
Spread | Mirassol -0.25: -125, Internacional +25: 105 | Mirassol -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol to win on the Moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with over 2.25 goals expected.
Predicted Score: 2-1