Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Fluminense – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-09
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Game Overview
This is the first match between Mirassol and Fluminense in the recorded head-to-head history. Mirassol has shown mixed form in Brazil Serie A, while Fluminense is performing well overall.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol has won 7 home games in Serie A, but their recent form is mixed. Fluminense is in good form overall.
- There is no recent head-to-head data between these two teams.
- Mirassol: Jose Aldo (suspension), Lucas Ramon (suspension), Edson Carioca (injury), Matheus Sales (injury). Fluminense: Kevin Serna (international duty), Ganso (injury), Nonato (injury).
- Mirassol hasn't lost in their last 5 matches, while Fluminense faces challenges with key players absent.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points, especially Mirassol to maintain their home win record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol: 142, Fluminense: 212, Draw: 200 | Mirassol for the win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Mirassol: -0.25 108, Fluminense: 25 -128 | Fluminense +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2 -128, Under: 2 108 | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage and recent undefeated streak, Mirassol might have an edge. However, Fluminense's overall form and absence of players could affect both teams' performance.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Mirassol