Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Game Overview
Mirassol hosts Ceará in a crucial Brasileirão Betano match, with both teams having contrasting league positions and recent form. Mirassol sits comfortably in 4th place, while Ceará struggles in 13th, fighting for mid-table stability. The match promises tactical intensity, with Mirassol favored at home and Ceará seeking an away upset.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol has been solid this season, boasting 16 wins, 12 draws, and 6 losses in 34 matches, with a +21 goal difference. Their home form is strong, and they have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Ceará, meanwhile, has 11 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, with a balanced goal difference. Their away record is mixed, but they have managed four away wins this season.
- In the last 5 meetings, Mirassol has won 3, Ceará has won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw. The aggregate score is 8-6 in favor of Mirassol. The most recent encounter was a 2-0 win for Mirassol. Mirassol has shown consistent dominance in these fixtures.
- No major injuries reported for either side as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match will be played at Mirassol's home ground, which typically provides a strong home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable, with no significant disruptions anticipated.
- Mirassol is motivated to maintain their top-four position and push for a continental spot. Ceará is fighting to avoid relegation and secure a safe mid-table finish, adding urgency to their performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ceará: 450, Mirassol: -157, Draw: 270 | Mirassol | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Ceará: 75 100, Mirassol: -0.75 -120 | Mirassol -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -112, Under: 2.25 -108 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mirassol 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol is favored to win this match due to their superior form, home advantage, and strong head-to-head record. Ceará may put up a fight, but Mirassol's consistency and recent dominance suggest a home victory is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: 2-0