Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-01
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Game Overview
The matchup features Mirassol hosting Bragantino-SP in a Brazilian Serie A clash with both teams having competitive form but differing standings and motivation levels. Bragantino is mid-table with a slightly better recent record while Mirassol struggles near the bottom, recently showing resilience but limited scoring power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bragantino has a stronger overall performance with a recent record of 5-1-1 and 16 points, while Mirassol has 1-4-2 and 7 points. Bragantino tends to score more goals and control matches. Mirassol has been resilient recently but lacks offensive firepower.
- Their last meeting ended with Bragantino winning 1-0. Historically, in the last 10 matches, both teams have won four times each with two draws, indicating a balanced rivalry but recent edge to Bragantino.
- No major injury reports for either side have been noted in the latest match data, suggesting both teams can field strong lineups.
- The match is at Mirassol’s home ground, which could offer them slight advantage. Weather and other external conditions appear normal, with no disruptions expected.
- Bragantino aims to consolidate mid-table position and push higher, showing better motivation and recent form. Mirassol needs points to avoid relegation troubles, which supports their defensive resilience but may limit attacking ambition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol: -112, Bragantino-SP: +325, Draw: +230 | Mirassol | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
Spread | Mirassol -0.5: -112, Bragantino-SP +50: -108 | Mirassol -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -125 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 67% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Mirassol to win
Predicted Score: 1-0