Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Bahia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mirassol home stadium
Game Overview
This Brazil Serie A match features Mirassol hosting Bahia. Both teams have shown relatively balanced recent form, but Mirassol enjoys home advantage. The match is expected to be close and competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mirassol has a slight edge in recent games with better home form, showing sharper attacking transitions. Bahia has struggled to find consistency away from home, with a mediocre recent run.
- The historical head-to-head between these teams is fairly balanced, with no dominant winner. Past meetings suggest close scorelines with a tendency for draws and low-margin wins.
- No major injury concerns reported affecting key starters on either side, enabling both teams to play their usual XI.
- No significant weather or travel issues expected. Scheduling and logistics seem normal with standard rest periods.
- Both sides are motivated to gain points due to mid-table standings and the fight to improve league position. Home advantage gives Mirassol additional incentive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol +128, Bahia +220, Draw +220 | Mirassol | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Mirassol -0.25 -105, Bahia +25 -115 | Mirassol -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 +102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mirassol 21% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0