Match Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN, USA
Game Overview
Minnesota United FC hosts San Jose Earthquakes in an MLS match with Minnesota as favorites, playing at home in a strong stadium environment.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota United have a better recent form and significantly higher win percentage (25 wins vs 17) and fewer losses (3 vs 13) compared to San Jose Earthquakes, who have a lower win percentage (46%) but more losses and draws. Minnesota concedes fewer goals (1.5 per game) than San Jose (2.29), indicating better defense.
- Recent head-to-head details are limited, but Minnesota’s home advantage and current form give them an edge in direct matchup.
- No critical injuries reported for either side that would severely impact lineup strength.
- Game played at Allianz Field, giving Minnesota home advantage with fan support and familiar pitch conditions. Weather and travel are not reported as adverse.
- Minnesota United has higher motivation given their superior season standing and home crowd, aiming to maintain or increase their lead. San Jose must overcome away disadvantage and pressure to improve their position.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC: -111, San Jose Earthquakes: 255, Draw: 295 | Minnesota United FC | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Minnesota United FC -0.5: -115, San Jose Earthquakes +50: -115 | Minnesota United FC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: 119, Under 3.5: -159 | Under 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota United FC to win the match
Predicted Score: 2-1