Match Analysis: Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Game Overview
MLS match between Minnesota United FC and Portland Timbers at Allianz Field. Minnesota are in strong form with recent consecutive wins and a solid home record, while Portland is struggling with a winless streak in their last three matches and recent away inconsistencies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Minnesota United FC holds 13-8-6 (win-draw-loss) with 44 goals scored and 30 conceded, averaging 1.74 points per game. Portland Timbers stand 10-7-9, showing inconsistency especially away and are currently on a three-match winless streak.
- Minnesota has won the last two home encounters against Portland, showing a tactical edge at Allianz Field.
- No major injuries reported for either team impacting starting lineups significantly; both starting goalkeepers expected to play (Dayne St. Clair for Minnesota, Maxime Crepeau for Portland).
- Minnesota's home advantage at Allianz Field is significant, alongside current momentum. Weather and travel exert less influence given venue location and timing.
- Minnesota is pushing to close the gap atop the Western Conference, adding strong motivation, whereas Portland looks to halt recent poor form and regain footing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC: -150, Portland Timbers: 330, Draw: 330 | Minnesota United FC | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Minnesota United FC -0.5: -154, Portland Timbers +50: 116 | Minnesota United FC -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -182, Under 2.5: 135 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 41% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota United FC to win outright (moneyline), covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately defensive game under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1