Match Analysis: Millwall vs Wrexham AFC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Den
Game Overview
Millwall hosts Wrexham AFC in an EFL Championship match with Millwall showing slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Wrexham has been competitive but less consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall has won 3 of their last 5 competitive matches including a recent 1-0 away win vs Sheffield United and have shown resilience at home. Wrexham has had mixed results with high-scoring draws and narrow losses, scoring frequently but also conceding.
- Recent head-to-head data indicates Millwall has a slight edge with 1 win and 4 losses over last 5 matches, but more competitive performances overall with approximately 1.2 points per match compared to Wrexhamβs form.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side; squads appear near full strength, maintaining competitive balance.
- Match played at Millwallβs home ground The Den offers Millwall a clear home advantage and crowd support. No adverse weather or travel concerns reported for either team.
- Millwall is focused on consolidating a strong start to the season and maintaining position in the Championship, while Wrexham, newly promoted, aims to prove their competitiveness but may prioritize cautious play.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -118, away: 315, draw: 230 | Millwall | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Millwall -0.5: -112, Wrexham +50: -108 | Millwall -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-1