Match Analysis: Millwall vs Sheffield Wednesday – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: The Den, London
Game Overview
Millwall (7th place) hosts Sheffield Wednesday (24th place) in a Championship league match at The Den. Millwall currently hold a significantly higher league ranking, reflecting stronger season performance. Sheffield Wednesday face struggles, often losing both halves in recent matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities and poor recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall are performing solidly in the Championship, holding 7th position and showing good defensive and attacking balance. Sheffield Wednesday are positioned 24th and have lost 6 of their last 8 matches at both half and full time, indicating a sustained poor run of form.
- Historically, the two sides are closely matched in direct encounters. In approximately 18-26 meetings, Millwall have 5-7 wins and Sheffield Wednesday 6-7 wins, with multiple draws. Recent stats show Millwall marginally outperform Sheffield Wednesday in head-to-head matches but with no dominant trend.
- No specific injury data detailed in sources; current lineups and player availability should be monitored closer to match day for updates. Key player discipline is notable, with Millwall having several players receiving higher cards per 90 minutes and Sheffield Wednesday players like Barry Bannan and Dominic Iorfa having multiple cards.
- Match is at The Den, giving Millwall home advantage. Crowd support and familiar pitch conditions can favor Millwall. No major external disruptions reported. Both teams appear motivated by league positioning β Millwall aiming for higher playoff contention, Sheffield Wednesday fighting relegation threats.
- Millwall have high motivation to consolidate their top-10 standing and push for playoff positions. Sheffield Wednesday are in a relegation battle and heavily motivated to gain points to escape the bottom but face psychological and form challenges.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Millwall: -145, Sheffield Wednesday: 355, Draw: 270 | Millwall win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Millwall -0.75: -114, Sheffield Wednesday +75: -106 | Millwall -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 110, Under 2.5: -130 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Millwall 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall are favored to win based on superior league position, recent form, home advantage, and historical competitiveness. Expect a Millwall victory with potential for one or two goals. Sheffield Wednesday may struggle to defend effectively but could attempt to counterattack.
Predicted Score: 2-0