Match Analysis: Millwall vs Preston North End – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: The Den
Game Overview
Millwall hosts Preston North End in a Championship clash at The Den. Millwall has shown strong recent form, while Preston North End has struggled for consistency away from home. The head-to-head record favors Millwall, who have dominated the series in recent years.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall has won 5 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.6. Preston North End has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 in their last 5, scoring 1.2 goals per game but conceding 2.0. Millwallβs home form is solid, while Prestonβs away record is mediocre.
- Millwall leads the all-time H2H with 11 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses in 24 meetings. In the last 6 encounters, Millwall has won 3, drawn 2, and lost 1. Preston has scored in 6 of the last 8 H2H league matches but has not won any of those games.
- No major injuries reported for either side. Both teams are at full strength, with Millwallβs key attackers and defenders available.
- The match is being played at The Den, where Millwall has a strong home advantage. Weather is expected to be mild with no significant impact on play.
- Millwall is pushing for a playoff spot, while Preston North End is fighting to avoid relegation. Millwallβs motivation is higher given their position in the table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 120, away: 215, draw: 225 | Millwall | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home: -0.25 -113, away: 25 -107 | Millwall -0.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over: 2.25 103, under: 2.25 -123 | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Millwall 32% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall to win outright. Millwallβs superior form, home advantage, and H2H dominance make them the clear favorite. Preston North End has struggled away and has not beaten Millwall in recent H2H meetings.
Predicted Score: 2-1