Match Analysis: Millwall vs Leicester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Den, Millwall
Game Overview
Millwall hosts Leicester City in an EFL Championship match featuring closely matched teams with competitive recent forms and mixed head-to-head results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Millwall has won approximately 67% of their last 6 matches, showing solid home form, while Leicester City have had more inconsistent results recently but remain a strong side with good attacking potential.
- In recent head-to-heads, Leicester City hold the edge with 3 wins to Millwall's 1 over their last 6 meetings, including 2 draws, indicating a slight historical advantage for Leicester.
- No significant injuries reported for either side impacting key players, allowing both teams near full-strength lineups.
- Match played at Millwall's home ground The Den, giving Millwall a modest home advantage; weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard with no major external disruptions.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points mid-season, but Millwall's recent positive run suggests higher confidence playing at home, while Leicester looks to assert their historical dominance in this fixture.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City: 156, Millwall: 165, Draw: 215 | Leicester City | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Leicester City 0: -115, Millwall 0: -105 | Leicester City 0 spread (draw no bet) | ★★★☆☆ 61% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City 15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Leicester City at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2
