Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-19
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough, England
Game Overview
Middlesbrough hosts West Bromwich Albion in a Championship clash with both sides showing competitive early season form. Middlesbrough are slight favorites at home with solid recent performances, while West Brom seek to bounce back after mixed results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Middlesbrough have won both home matches so far this season and maintain positive attacking and defensive stats. West Brom have a more inconsistent away record with defensive vulnerabilities visible in recent games.
- Recent H2H show tight contests with a slight edge to Middlesbrough at home, including a draw and narrow wins in prior meetings. Both teams score but games are typically low to moderate scoring.
- No major injuries reported for Middlesbrough; West Brom currently missing one defensive squad member due to injury, slightly weakening their back line.
- Riverside Stadiumβs atmosphere favors Middlesbrough. Weather forecast is mild with no significant disruptions expected. Fixture congestion minimal for both teams.
- Middlesbrough motivated to maintain strong home form for playoff push. West Brom aiming to stabilize early season inconsistencies and avoid slipping down the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Middlesbrough: +114, West Bromwich Albion: +220, Draw: +225 | Middlesbrough | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Middlesbrough -0.25: -112, West Bromwich Albion +25: -108 | Middlesbrough -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Middlesbrough 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Middlesbrough at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Middlesbrough win on the moneyline; take Middlesbrough -0.25 on spread; under 2.5 goals predicted
Predicted Score: 1-0