Match Analysis: Marseille vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Orange Vélodrome
Game Overview
Marseille and Le Havre face off in Ligue 1, with Marseille aiming to extend their unbeaten streak against Le Havre. Marseille has a strong home record, having won each of their last eight games at Stade Vélodrome. Le Havre, meanwhile, has struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last three away matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marseille is in excellent form, particularly at home, where they have scored an average of 3.20 goals per match. Le Havre has shown mixed results and struggles on the road, averaging 1.70 goals per game away from home.
- Marseille has a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, having never lost to Le Havre in their last eight meetings and winning nine of their last ten encounters.
- Marseille may see the return of key players like Geoffrey Kondogbia and Hamed Junior Traorè, while Le Havre's Reda Khadra is expected to be fit.
- Weather conditions and officiating could play a minor role but are unlikely to significantly impact the outcome.
- Marseille is highly motivated to continue their strong home form and maintain a top position in the league. Le Havre is looking to break their away win drought.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -315 (Marseille), 825 (Le Havre), 495 (Draw) | Marseille | ★★★★☆ 84% |
Spread | -1.5 Marseille (-108), +1.5 Le Havre (-112) | Marseille -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 80% |
Over/under | Over 3 (+103), Under 3 (-123) | Over 3 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Marseille -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marseille's strong home record and excellent head-to-head performance against Le Havre make them the favorite to win.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Marseille