Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Everton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Stadium
Game Overview
Manchester City hosts Everton in a Premier League match where the Citizens are strong favorites backed by solid recent form and squad depth. Everton is competitive but less consistent, typically aiming to keep the match tight.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manchester City is in good form with 10 points from their last 4 matches, sitting 5th in the table and boasting the league's second-best attack (2.14 goals/game) and third-best defense (0.86 goals conceded/game). Everton has a decent record (3-2-2) but scores less (1.29 goals/game) and concedes more (1.00 goals/game).
- Manchester City has won 8 of the last 10 meetings against Everton, showing clear dominance historically.
- Manchester City misses key midfielder Rodri Hernandez (injured) and has doubtful defenders Abdukodir Khusanov and Rayan Ait-Nouri plus forward Omar Marmoush. Everton's injury status is less impactful with no major absences reported.
- The match is at the Etihad Stadium, which heavily favors Manchester City. No significant external or weather issues reported.
- Manchester City seeks to close the gap to the league leader and sustain momentum, while Everton aims to gain points and halt a recent inconsistent run.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Man City -265, Draw +380, Everton +640 | Manchester City | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Man City -1.5 at +105, Everton +1.5 at -139 | Manchester City -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -146, Under 2.5 +110 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Manchester City -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Manchester City to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread, with the match going over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1