Match Analysis: Malmo FF vs PFC Ludogorets Razgrad – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-24
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Eleda Stadion
Game Overview
Malmo FF hosts PFC Ludogorets Razgrad in this UEFA Europa League group stage match, with Malmo favored on home soil. Both teams have European experience but Malmo have a stronger recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Malmo FF show solid recent form in domestic and European play, winning most of their last 5 matches with a stable defense. Ludogorets have struggled away from home and have mixed results in recent games.
- Limited direct meetings in recent years; Malmo have the edge in competitive UEFA matches with more consistent performances at home.
- Both sides have no major injury concerns reported; teams expected to field strongest lineups.
- Match at Malmo's home stadium provides familiar conditions and strong fan support, which historically boosts Malmo's performance in European fixtures.
- Both teams seek points early in group stage; Malmo motivated to leverage home advantage to secure a win, Ludogorets to avoid falling behind in group.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Malmo FF: -139, Draw: +283, Ludogorets: +370 | Malmo FF | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Malmo FF -0.5: -138, Ludogorets +50: +108 | Malmo FF -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -114, Under 2.5: -116 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Malmo FF 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Malmo FF to win on the moneyline, covering -0.5 spread, and match to finish under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0