Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Levante – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Son Moix
Game Overview
Two struggling sides face off in La Liga; both Mallorca and Levante have won just two of their first nine matches, with Mallorca sitting 20th in the table and Levante 12th. Both teams carry negative goal differences, indicating defensive woes relative to their attacking output. Recent form suggests neither side is in strong shape, with Mallorca losing half of their matches and Levante losing 5 of 9[1][3][6].
Key Factors to Consider
- Mallorca are last in the table, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses (7 goals scored, 13 conceded). Levante are 12th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses (13 goals scored, 14 conceded). Both teams have a negative goal difference, but Levante's offense has been slightly more productive this season[3][6].
- In their last 23 meetings, Levante leads with 11 wins, Mallorca 7, and 5 draws; however, the last few encounters show a more balanced record, with recent stats indicating a tight, possibly low-scoring affair[5].
- No specific injury reports for key contributors available in the search results; monitoring starting XI is advised on matchday for both squads.
- No major external factors (weather, referees, etc.) noted as of now; the match will likely be played under typical conditions.
- Both teams are in desperate need of points to escape the relegation zone; Mallorca especially under pressure, as they sit bottom, which may spur them to take more risks at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Levante 260, Mallorca 113, Draw 225 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Levante 25 100, Mallorca -0.25 -120 | Levante +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -105 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Draw 30% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A low-scoring, tense game where neither side convinces, but Levante slightly favored to edge it via marginally better recent attacking form and H2H edge. However, the market overweights home underdog sentiment (Málaga at almost +113 ML), making Levante +260 on the road a possible value play if their offense clicks, but the expected market volatility and lack of clear dominance points to a tight, possibly split-decision result.
Predicted Score: 1-1
