Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Alavés – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Game Overview
Mallorca hosts Alavés in a La Liga match where Mallorca is underperforming with no wins in five games, while Alavés has a slightly better form but mixed results overall. The game is expected to be tightly contested with modest attacking output and moderate defensive solidity from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mallorca is winless (0-2-3) with only 2 points from their last 5 matches, scoring on average 1 goal per game but failing to convert this into wins. Alavés has a 2-2-2 record with 8 points, showing more balanced form and slightly better away performances.
- Historical data and predictive simulations give Mallorca approximately a 41% chance of winning, Alavés around 30%, with draws near 29%. Previous matchups have been closely contested.
- No significant injury news suggests major starters absent for either side, maintaining strength but no clear advantage.
- Mallorca's home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is a positive factor for them, but their poor home form limits the boost. Weather and travel conditions seem neutral.
- Mallorca needs points desperately to avoid early season relegation struggles, providing higher motivation versus Alavés who is slightly more comfortable in mid-table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca: +130, Alavés: +245, Draw: +200 | Mallorca | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Mallorca -0.25: -108, Alavés +25: -112 | Mallorca -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2: +108, Under 2: -128 | Under 2 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mallorca 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mallorca Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0
