Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola, Serbia
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League Regular Season match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Lyon will take place at Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola, Serbia. Lyon enters the match as a strong favorite with better recent form and higher-quality squad depth, while Maccabi Tel Aviv has faced difficulties in the competition with multiple losses in recent matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lyon shows stronger overall form in both domestic and European competitions with higher quality in attack and defense. Maccabi Tel Aviv has struggled with 4 losses in 8 games in the Europa League this season, reflecting inconsistency and vulnerabilities in defense.
- There is limited recent direct head-to-head data available for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon, indicating these teams do not frequently meet in major European competitions. Lyon is generally considered the more experienced side at this level.
- No specific injury updates were available from the recent data, but any minor squad absences are unlikely to affect Lyon significantly given their depth. The injury status of key Maccabi Tel Aviv players could impact their competitiveness.
- The match is being played at a neutral venue (Backa Topola, Serbia), which may reduce home advantage effect for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Weather or travel fatigue has not been explicitly reported as a factor.
- Both teams are competing for crucial group stage points in the Europa League. Lyon, needing to secure qualification or better positioning, likely has slightly higher motivation given their European ambitions and stronger squad.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon: -140, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 331, Draw: 310 | Lyon to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Lyon: -0.75 -108, Maccabi Tel Aviv: +75 -112 | Lyon to cover -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Lyon at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lyon is favored to win the match with a strong probability, given their superior form, squad quality, and the odds heavily supporting them.
Predicted Score: 1-2