Match Analysis: Lyon vs Angers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-19
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Groupama Stadium, Lyon, France
Game Overview
Olympique Lyonnais, currently 4th in Ligue 1, hosts Angers, who sit 12th, at the Groupama Stadium. Lyon started the season strongly with three successive wins but have recent inconsistency, including a 3-1 loss to Stade Rennais. Angers, newly promoted a couple of seasons prior, have shown mid-table stability but face challenges avoiding stagnation. The last encounter saw Lyon victorious 2-0 at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lyon has demonstrated strong form with a solid start to the campaign and higher league placement, while Angers have been steady but less consistent, struggling against top-tier teams. Lyonβs recent home form and squad quality give them an edge.
- In their last meeting on 17 May 2025, Lyon defeated Angers 2-0 at home. Historically, Lyon has dominated this matchup with consistent wins, reflecting the gap in squad strength.
- No specific injury updates were found in the provided data, indicating both teams likely have their main squads available for selection.
- Lyon benefits from home advantage at Groupama Stadium. The match timing and absence of external disruptions suggest typical conditions.
- Lyon aims to regain momentum after a recent defeat and solidify their top-four standing. Angers seek to disrupt Lyonβs rhythm and improve their mid-table position, fighting to avoid second season pitfalls after promotion.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon: -260, Angers: 675, Draw: 400 | Lyon Win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Lyon: -1.25 -115, Angers: +1.25 -105 | Lyon -1.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -104, Under 2.75: -116 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lyon is favored to win, leveraging home advantage, superior recent form, and historical dominance over Angers. A win for Lyon is the most probable outcome, with potential for a modest goal margin.
Predicted Score: 2-1