Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Anfield, Liverpool, England
Game Overview
Liverpool, currently 8th in the Premier League with 18 points from 11 games, hosts 19th placed Nottingham Forest, who have 9 points. Liverpool’s form is mixed with 6 wins and 5 losses, while Nottingham Forest is struggling with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses. Liverpool seeks to regain momentum in their title challenge at home against a team battling relegation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool has been inconsistent but remains strong at home, leveraging key players like Mohamed Salah (4 goals) and Cody Gakpo (3 goals). Nottingham Forest struggles with goal difference (-10) and points, though their recent encounters show competitive matches against Liverpool.
- Recent matches indicate competitive balance: a 1-1 draw in January 2025 and a 1-0 Forest win at Liverpool’s home in September 2024, suggesting Nottingham Forest can challenge Liverpool despite league position.
- Current detailed injury reports are unavailable from the provided data; however, no major injury news disclosed that would significantly impact either side just before the match.
- Playing at Anfield gives Liverpool significant home advantage with strong fan support. Ticket sales indicate high attendance and supporter enthusiasm for Liverpool.
- Liverpool is motivated to secure three points to boost their title challenge, while Nottingham Forest is driven to escape relegation pressure, making them potentially tenacious and defensive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool: -250, Nottingham Forest: 570, Draw: 380 | Liverpool to win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Spread | Liverpool -1.5: 106, Nottingham Forest +1.5: -140 | Liverpool to cover -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: 135, Under 3.5: -181 | Under 3.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 -7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Liverpool at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool is favored to win given home advantage, superior league position, and attacking firepower, but Nottingham Forest’s recent head-to-head results suggest a cautious approach is needed. Expect a Liverpool win but with some risk of a close scoreline or draw.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Liverpool