Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Everton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Anfield
Game Overview
Liverpool enters this Merseyside Derby with unbeaten momentum in the Premier League, having won all four matches so far. Everton have shown some resilience and are positioned sixth in the table, but remain inconsistent. Liverpool's attacking threat has been boosted by Alexander Isak, who is likely to make his debut and impact. Everton aims to defend deeply and capitalize on counter-attacks, aiming to score despite Liverpoolβs dominance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool have won all four league games, with a combination of strong defensive work (two consecutive clean sheets) and effective scoring. Everton's recent form includes two wins, a draw, and a loss, reflecting inconsistency. Liverpoolβs attack is potent, led by new signing Isak, while Everton remains solid but vulnerable defensively.
- Liverpool have dominated recent Merseyside derbies, including a convincing 4-0 home win in 2015/16. Everton have struggled historically at Anfield, indicating a psychological and tactical advantage for Liverpool in this fixture.
- No significant injuries reported for Liverpool or Everton that would severely impact starting lineups, with Isak likely available for Liverpoolβs lineup.
- The match at Anfield favors Liverpool due to home advantage and crowd support. Weather and other external variables have not been noted as major factors.
- Liverpool aims to maintain a perfect start and assert dominance, while Everton, sitting sixth, are motivated to upset their rivals and prove consistency. The derby rivalry itself adds high motivation for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool: -230, Draw: 370, Everton: 540 | Liverpool | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Liverpool -1.5: 114, Everton +1.5: -152 | Liverpool -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -171, Under 2.5: 127 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 36% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool to win on the moneyline, Liverpool -1.5 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals scored.
Predicted Score: 2-1