Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Anfield
Game Overview
The upcoming Premier League match between Liverpool and Crystal Palace at Anfield is highly anticipated. Liverpool has a strong historical record against Crystal Palace, dominating past meetings with a majority of wins. The teams have met 64 times previously, with Liverpool winning 36 times against Crystal Palace's 15 wins and 13 draws. This season, Liverpool won their only prior encounter 1-0 away at Selhurst Park. Both teams have shown contrasting defensive and offensive profiles recently, with Liverpool conceding more goals but maintaining a higher scoring rate, while Crystal Palace demonstrates tighter defense but less prolific scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool's recent form shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding 1.8 goals per game. Crystal Palace also shows similar last five form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 2.2 goals scored but with a much tighter defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match. Liverpool exhibits a stronger attacking presence, but has vulnerabilities defensively, whereas Crystal Palace has a solid defense but less offensive firepower.
- Liverpool holds a dominant head-to-head record over Crystal Palace with approximately 60% wins in past encounters, while Crystal Palace has only about 27% wins and 12% draws historically. The average goals per match in direct matches is around 3.09, indicating relatively high-scoring games. Liverpool won the only 2024/25 season clash 1-0 at Palace’s home ground.
- No specific injury information was provided in the available data; analysis assumes no critical injuries affecting key players for either side.
- The match is held at Liverpool's home ground, Anfield, offering them the home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to pose any significant impact. Motivation for Liverpool to secure a strong finish in the league at home is high, while Crystal Palace will seek to challenge against a top opponent.
- Liverpool is motivated to leverage their home advantage and maintain dominance over Crystal Palace after their narrow away win earlier in the season. Crystal Palace aims to improve their away record and secure points against a higher-ranked opponent, but motivationally Liverpool is favored due to historical success and home support.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool: -255, Crystal Palace: 510, Draw: 430 | Liverpool Win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Liverpool -1.5: -104, Crystal Palace +1.5: -127 | Liverpool -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: -120, Under 3.5: -111 | Over 3.5 Goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Liverpool -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool to win with a relatively solid confidence given their home performance and historical dominance, though Crystal Palace’s defensive strength suggests a competitive match.
Predicted Score: 3-1