Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Crystal Palace – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Anfield
Game Overview
Liverpool, placed 1st in the Premier League with 83 points, host Crystal Palace, who are 12th with 52 points. This is the final league fixture of the season for both teams. Liverpool currently holds a dominant record over Palace in head-to-head encounters, and their strength at home is a key factor in this matchup. Only one meeting occurred this season in the league, with Liverpool winning 1-0 away at Selhurst Park[5][2][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool have shown strong form this season, especially at home, with only a few losses. Crystal Palace have a mixed record and are solid away from home, but their defense has vulnerabilities against top sides. Liverpoolβs attack is potent, and Palaceβs recent form is inconsistent[3][2][5].
- Liverpool have won 36 of 64 meetings, Crystal Palace 15, with 13 draws (over all competitions). In Premier League only, Liverpool lead 30-9-10 (W-D-L), and have a dominant recent record with 19 wins in last 30 games[5][2][3].
- No specific injury updates provided in available data. Assume both teams are at or near full strength for this key fixture.
- Anfield remains a fortress for Liverpool; home advantage is significant. No major weather disruptions expected.
- Liverpool aims to finish the season strongly, potentially securing a title or a celebratory home win. Crystal Palace are mid-table and may lack the same intensity, though they will want to end their campaign on a high.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace: 510, Liverpool: -255, Draw: 430 | Liverpool win | β β β β β 80% |
| Spread | Crystal Palace: 1.5 -127, Liverpool: -1.5 -104 | Liverpool -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 3.5 -120, Under: 3.5 -111 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool are heavy favorites to win at home given their superior league position, head-to-head superiority, and strong home form. Crystal Palace have a puncherβs chance, but recent trends and motivation strongly favor Liverpool[5][2][3].
Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-0 Crystal Palace