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Liverpool vs. Aston Villa Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Liverpool vs Aston Villa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Anfield

Game Overview

Liverpool enter this fixture with inconsistent form, sitting 7th in the Premier League with five wins, no draws, and four losses. Aston Villa have been in strong form with four wins and three draws, including a recent win over Manchester City, placing them 8th. Liverpool have defensive frailties, especially on set-pieces, while Villa are motivated and well-organized under Unai Emery.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Liverpool have struggled defensively and recently lost four league games, whereas Aston Villa are on a five-game unbeaten streak and show solid attacking and defensive cohesion.
  • Liverpool lead the historical series 103-59 with 43 draws and are unbeaten against Villa since October 2020. Last season Liverpool won 2-0 away but had a late winning goal.
  • Aston Villa will miss Harvey Elliott due to loan rules, and also likely absences of Tielemans and Buendia. Jadon Sancho’s fitness is uncertain. Liverpool have not reported major absences, but defensive issues remain.
  • Match at Anfield favours Liverpool historically, boosting their confidence. However, Liverpool's recent squad rotation in the Carabao Cup puts added pressure on them here. Villa’s recent win over Man City boosts morale.
  • Liverpool need points to recover from early season setbacks and defend their title aspirations. Aston Villa are motivated by Champions League qualification ambitions and the chance to improve league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liverpool: -156, Aston Villa: 350, Draw: 320 Liverpool β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Liverpool(-0.5): -160, Aston Villa(+50): 120 Liverpool -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: 130, Under 3.5: -174 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liverpool 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool to win on the moneyline, Liverpool -0.5 on spread, under 3.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Manchester City vs. Bournemouth Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Manchester City vs Bournemouth – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Game Overview

Manchester City hosts Bournemouth in a Premier League clash where City looks to rebound strongly after a slight dip in form, currently 5th and 6 points behind the leaders, while Bournemouth are expected to struggle away.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester City has won 8 of their last 11 games, including 4 straight home wins showing strong attacking and defensive form. Bournemouth have been inconsistent and struggle against top teams.
  • Historically, Manchester City dominates Bournemouth with a high winning rate at home and significant goal differences in recent fixtures.
  • Manchester City’s Rodri is out, but key players including Haaland are expected to feature. Bournemouth has no major injury news affecting starters.
  • No notable external factors impacting this match; conditions expected to be typical for early November at Etihad.
  • City pursuing top 4 to close gap to leaders with strong motivation; Bournemouth likely aiming for survival points but with lower practical chances against the league leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline bournemouth: 460, manchester_city: -204, draw: 360 Manchester City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread bournemouth: -166, manchester_city: 124 Manchester City -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over_3.5: 130, under_3.5: -174 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester City 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City to win outright (Moneyline), covering the -1.5 goal spread, and total goals under 3.5.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 – 0 Bournemouth


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West Ham United vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: London Stadium

Game Overview

West Ham United host Newcastle United in a Premier League clash with both teams facing contrasting form and motivation. West Ham are winless in six and struggling defensively, while Newcastle are on a three-match winning run and have regained key players.

Key Factors to Consider

  • West Ham: L-D-L-L-L (last 5), Newcastle: W-L-W-W-W (last 5). West Ham have scored only 3 goals in their last 6 matches and conceded 12. Newcastle have scored 8 goals in their last 3 matches and tightened defensively.
  • Newcastle have won 3 of the last 5 meetings and have dominated recent encounters, including a win earlier this season.
  • West Ham: Yoane Wissa (knee), Harrison Ashby (thigh), Tino Livramento (knee), Lewis Hall (thigh). Newcastle: Bruno GuimarΓ£es, Joelinton, Anthony Gordon, Jacob Murphy, Nick Pope all expected to return after rest.
  • West Ham's poor home form (no wins in 6) and defensive issues. Newcastle's recent away struggles (3 draws, 1 loss in PL away) but strong momentum and full squad.
  • West Ham are desperate for a win to avoid relegation, while Newcastle seek to build on their winning run and climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 390, away: -161, draw: 300 away Not available
Spread away: -164, home: 123 away Not available
Over/under over: -137, under: 103 under Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 233%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 26%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 233% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 59.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United to win outright.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Tottenham Hotspur vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Game Overview

Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea with both teams showing mixed recent form and Tottenham suffering key injuries at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tottenham are currently third in the league but have struggled at home with no wins in their last three home league fixtures. Chelsea have been inconsistent but managed to reach the Carabao Cup quarter-finals and have rested key players recently.
  • Chelsea have dominated recent encounters with Tottenham, winning 12 of the last 13 league meetings, which indicates a psychological edge and tactical superiority.
  • Tottenham are heavily impacted with 12 first-team players ruled out or doubtful, weakening their squad depth and options. Chelsea's injury situation is comparatively better, with key players available.
  • Tottenham face a tough upcoming schedule including Manchester United, Arsenal, and PSG, possibly causing fatigue or tactical caution. Chelsea have more squad rotation flexibility.
  • Tottenham are motivated to reverse their poor home form against Chelsea and solidify their league position, while Chelsea aim to maintain dominance and exploit Tottenham’s injury crisis.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: 147, Tottenham Hotspur: 165, Draw: 248 Chelsea β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Chelsea -0.5: 142, Tottenham +50: -191 Chelsea -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -144, Under 2.5: 108 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chelsea 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Chelsea at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chelsea moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Leeds United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Leeds United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: American Express Community Stadium, Brighton

Game Overview

Brighton and Hove Albion host Leeds United in a crucial mid-table EPL clash where Brighton, favored at home, seek to build momentum after mixed recent results. Leeds have struggled for consistency and are vulnerable defensively but can be dangerous on the counterattack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brighton sits 13th with 12 points, showing solid home form with 2 wins in 4 matches, including victories over Newcastle and Chelsea. Leeds is 15th with 11 points, having won only 2 of their last 6 games and suffering defensive lapses.
  • Brighton has a slightly better recent H2H performance, with competitive matches typically low scoring, and Brighton has held home advantage historically in similar fixtures.
  • Brighton likely missing key players Joel Veltman, James Milner, Kaoru Mitoma, and Brajan Gruda, possibly affecting depth. Leeds' lineup mostly intact with no significant injury issues reported.
  • Brighton aims to avoid UEFA competition absence pressure on manager Fabian Hurzeler; Leeds motivated to close the narrow points gap and avoid slipping further down the table.
  • Brighton highly motivated to secure points at home to build positive momentum; Leeds seek points to improve position but recent form suggests instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -119, away: 295, draw: 265 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread home: -122, away: -108 Brighton -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -128, under: -104 Under 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brighton and Hove Albion 121%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Brighton and Hove Albion at 121% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brighton to win with a narrow margin, low-scoring game expected

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fulham vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fulham vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Craven Cottage, London

Game Overview

Fulham hosts Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Premier League match where Fulham are slight favorites, given home advantage and better recent form, despite both teams struggling in the lower relegation zones of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fulham are 17th with 8 points from 9 matches, scoring 9 goals but conceding 14. Wolves are bottom with 2 points, has not won away yet this season, and have a poor goal difference (-12). Fulham showed better home form recently, winning two of last three games at Craven Cottage.
  • Wolves have a decent head-to-head record historically against Fulham, but form and current season performance favor Fulham. No recent dominant wins indicated for either side.
  • No prominent injuries noted that drastically affect starting lineups for either team based on available data.
  • The match is at Fulham’s home ground, Craven Cottage, which has favored Fulham's performance this season. Weather or other factors were not reported to have significant impact.
  • Fulham is motivated to regain momentum and avoid relegation danger. Wolves, sitting at the bottom, have high motivation but poor away form dampens their chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fulham: -120, Wolverhampton Wanderers: +330, Draw: +242 Fulham β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Fulham -0.5: -123, Wolverhampton +50: -108 Fulham -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: +114, Under 2.5: -151 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fulham 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fulham at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fulham to win the match, with under 2.5 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Burnley vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Turf Moor

Game Overview

Arsenal, league leaders on a strong winning streak and defensive form, face Burnley, struggling near the relegation zone with low offensive productivity. Arsenal are clear favorites based on recent results and statistics.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal have won 8 consecutive matches across all competitions and kept 6 clean sheets recently. Burnley have lost 5 of 9 games this season and exhibit the lowest expected goals (xG) per 90 in the league (0.76).
  • Arsenal have dominated recent encounters, conceding only once in their last four matches against Burnley and maintaining a strong winning record.
  • Burnley have long-term absences including Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer, and Zeki Amdouni. Arsenal's squad is relatively healthy heading into the match.
  • Match at Burnley's Turf Moor may grant some home advantage, but Burnley's recent form at home includes losses and tight wins mostly against fellow promoted teams.
  • Burnley are motivated to acquire points to avoid relegation battles; Arsenal have motivation to maintain top position with momentum and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal -370, Burnley +950, Draw +440 Arsenal β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Arsenal -1.5 -123, Burnley +1.5 -107 Arsenal -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -138, Under 2.5 +104 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 33%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal win moneyline; Arsenal -1.5 spread; Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: City Ground Stadium

Game Overview

Manchester United enters as the clear favorite to win against Nottingham Forest, who have struggled this season with poor offensive output and defensive vulnerability. United’s recent form is strong with a higher goal-scoring rate and improved defense, while Forest have a very low scoring average and have lost most of their matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manchester United have 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with a 1.67 goals per game average and conceding 1.56. Nottingham Forest stand at 1 win, 2 draws, 6 losses, scoring only 0.56 goals per game and conceding 1.89 goals per game.
  • Manchester United have dominated historically against Nottingham Forest, winning 12 of the last 15 matches, though Forest won both meetings last season, including a 1-0 home win and 3-2 away win.
  • Nottingham Forest are missing Ola Aina and Dilane Bakwa, with doubts over Chris Wood and Oleksandr Zinchenko. Manchester United could have Harry Maguire returning but Lisandro MartΓ­nez remains sidelined.
  • The match is at Nottingham Forest’s City Ground, but recent performances at home have shown vulnerabilities including heavy defeats. Manchester United’s midfield creativity and key attackers are fit and in form.
  • Manchester United currently hold 6th place with ambitions to climb higher and maintain form. Nottingham Forest have motivation as home underdogs to upset but overall seem less confident given poor recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +228, draw: +260, away: +105 Away β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Manchester United -0.5: +102, Nottingham Forest +50: -135 Manchester United -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over 2.5: -141, under 2.5: +107 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manchester United 123%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manchester United at 123% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester United win

Predicted Score: Manchester United 2 – 1 Nottingham Forest


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Crystal Palace vs. Brentford Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Brentford – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Selhurst Park

Game Overview

Crystal Palace hosts Brentford in a tight EPL matchup with both teams showing moderate scoring ability. Palace have a strong defense but recent inconsistency, while Brentford score slightly more but concede more. Palace are slight favorites on odds and recent cup performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crystal Palace scores 1.33 goals per game (11th in EPL) and concedes 1.00 (4th best defense). Brentford scores 1.56 (9th) but concedes 1.56 (16th). Palace recently beat Liverpool in the League Cup but have inconsistent league form. Brentford has steadier but less defensively sound form.
  • Recent H2H matchups are competitive with no clear dominance. Both teams have traded wins but Palace have home advantage at Selhurst Park.
  • Crystal Palace might miss Chris Richards (doubtful), but no major reports for Brentford. Otherwise, both sides have their key scorers fit including Palace's Mateta and Brentford's Thiago.
  • Palace face fixture congestion with League Cup Quarter Final and Conference League games coming, potentially impacting squad freshness. Brentford have a lighter schedule recently.
  • Palace motivated to stabilize Premier League form after recent slump and build on big cup win. Brentford look to capitalize on Palace’s fixture congestion and maintain mid-table progress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -111, away: +275, draw: +260 Home Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread home_-0.5: -114, away_+50: -117 Crystal Palace -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over_2.5: -139, under_2.5: 105 Under 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Crystal Palace 118%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Crystal Palace at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Crystal Palace to Win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Everton vs. Tottenham Hotspur Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Everton vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Goodison Park, Liverpool, UK

Game Overview

A Premier League mid-table clash between Everton, who have shown improved home form, and an inconsistent Tottenham Hotspur side known for high-tempo play but defensive vulnerabilities. This is a crucial match for both clubs seeking European football and momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Everton have shored up their defense at home and are becoming tough to beat, particularly under the lights at Goodison. Tottenham has struggled recently as the underdog, especially on the road, with only two wins in their last 20 away games when not favored[6]. Both teams have shown offensive spurts but Tottenham's xGA (expected goals against) remains a concern.
  • Recent encounters have been tightly contested, with a slight edge to Tottenham, but Everton's home advantage has often closed the gap.
  • No major injury crises reported for either side. Both managers likely have full squads, though Everton may have a slight edge in squad rotation depth.
  • Everton's passionate home crowd and Goodison Park's tight pitch can frustrate visiting teams reliant on width. The pitch may limit Tottenham's wingers and lead to a more direct, physical contest.
  • Everton sees this as a must-win to push into the top half, while Tottenham can't afford to drop points in their chase for European spots. Expect a fiercely competitive clash.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton +135, Tottenham +193, Draw +230 Everton win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Everton -0.5 (+130), Tottenham +50 (-174) Everton -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-108), Under 2.5 (-123) Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Everton 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Everton at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Everton’s home resilience, crowd factor, and Tottenham’s struggles away from home as underdogs make the Toffees a value play even at short odds.

Predicted Score: Everton 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur


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