Match Analysis: Lille vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille, France
Game Overview
Lille hosts Lyon in a tightly contested Ligue 1 clash where Lille currently shows solid form at home, while Lyon is unbeaten overall with strong away performances. Both teams have attacking strengths but Lille appears slightly favored by bookmakers and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lille has a 3-1-1 record overall and is 2-0-0 at home, showing strong home form with 6 points. Lyon is undefeated at 4-0-1 overall and 3-0-0 away, indicating strong momentum and resilience away from home.
- Recent H2H data is balanced with Lille capable of scoring through individual skill and Lyon likely to generate multiple scoring chances, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities on both sides.
- No significant injury reports available that heavily impact starting lineups for either side, maintaining full competitive squads.
- Match played at Lilleβs home ground provides a home crowd advantage; weather or scheduling factors are neutral based on current data.
- Lille looks to capitalize on home advantage to close the points gap, while Lyon aims to maintain unbeaten form and position near the top of the table, suggesting both teams are motivated for a strong attacking performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Lille +125, Lyon +212, Draw +235 | Lille | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | Lille -0.25 -105, Lyon +25 -115 | Lille -0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 -102, Under 2.75 -118 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lille -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lille to win on the moneyline, Lille to cover the -0.25 spread, and over 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1