Match Analysis: Lille vs Angers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Game Overview
Lille hosts Angers in a Ligue 1 match where Lille aims to bounce back from a recent loss and leverage strong home form, while Angers carry confidence from recent draws but struggle away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lille recently lost 2-0 to Nice but had a commanding 6-1 home win over Metz before that; Angers are undefeated in their last three league matches but continue to struggle away from home.
- Lille beat Angers 2-0 in their last home matchup; Angers have not won competitively away against Lille since last season.
- Lille have key injuries to Ousmane Toure and Alexsandro; Nabil Bentaleb may start. Angers have no significant injury concerns reported.
- Playing at Stade Pierre-Mauroy gives Lille a strong home advantage; Lille's fans remain optimistic after recent home performance.
- Lille motivated to recover after a loss; Angers seeking their first away win since last season, adding pressure but also hope.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille -380, Draw +460, Angers +900 | Lille | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Lille -1.5 -120, Angers +1.5 +100 | Lille -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -118, Under 2.75 -102 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lille -18% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lille to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread with under 2.75 total goals expected
Predicted Score: 2-0