Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Stoke City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester, England
Game Overview
Leicester City will host Stoke City at the King Power Stadium in an EFL Championship match. Leicester are positioned 12th in the table with inconsistent home form, having won only two of their seven home matches this season. Stoke City currently sit 3rd with one of the best defensive records in the league, conceding only 10 goals in 15 games. Leicester aims to improve their form after ending a five-game winless streak, while Stoke looks to recover from a recent narrow defeat ahead of the fixture.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leicester City has had a challenging season so far with an inconsistent form, especially at home. They recently secured a last-minute win following a winless streak. Stoke City is in strong form overall, sitting 3rd in the league with a solid defensive record and good recent match results including three wins in their last five games.
- Stoke City has not won in their last 10 competitive matches against Leicester City (3 draws, 7 losses), with Leicesterβs last loss against Stoke dating back to January 2015.
- No specific injury updates available from the provided data. However, Stoke is expected to have Divin Mubama returning following his contribution to England U21s.
- Leicester faces pressure to improve its home form and league position to contend for playoff spots, being only four points off. Stoke has a strong defense and recent road game successes, creating external pressure and motivation for both sides.
- Leicester is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and build on their recent win as they battle to climb the standings. Stoke aims to maintain their high defensive standard and continue their push for promotion with solid away performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City: -101, Stoke City: 265, Draw: 220 | Leicester City Win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Leicester City -0.5: 105, Stoke City +50: -125 | Leicester City -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Leicester City at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City to win narrowly or draw, with strong defensive resistance expected from Stoke City making a close match likely.
Predicted Score: 2-1