Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Sheffield Wednesday – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: King Power Stadium, Leicester City
Game Overview
Leicester City host Sheffield Wednesday in this EFL Championship match with Leicester City ranked 9th and Sheffield Wednesday 18th. Leicester have a strong home form and better recent performance compared to Sheffield Wednesday, who struggled especially away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leicester City have won 17 of their 23 home games historically in the Championship with strong recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches. Sheffield Wednesday are in poor form away, winning only 7 of 23 away games and currently positioned low in the table.
- Leicester City have a narrow edge in recent H2H with 10 wins out of 25 matches against Sheffield’s 13, but recent results favor Leicester with victories in their last meetings including a 2-0 win earlier in 2024. Overall goals scored and conceded are balanced but Leicester’s home advantage is significant.
- No specific injury updates available, but recent team news suggests Leicester have a relatively healthy squad while Sheffield Wednesday likely face normal squad depth challenges given their form.
- Match played at Leicester’s home ground provides a substantial edge given their historic home dominance. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to favor the home side's playing style. No major off-field disruptions reported.
- Leicester City, mid-table with aspirations to climb higher, motivated to capitalize at home early in the season. Sheffield Wednesday, fighting relegation threats, have strong motivation but lack consistency, especially away from home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Leicester City: -900, Sheffield Wednesday: 1500, Draw: 700 | Leicester City | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | Leicester City -2.25 (-105), Sheffield Wednesday +2.25 (-115) | Leicester City -2.25 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over 3.25 (-105), Under 3.25 (-115) | Over 3.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leicester City -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 27% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City win on the moneyline, cover the -2.25 spread, with the total goals over 3.25.
Predicted Score: 3-1