Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Coventry City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: King Power Stadium
Game Overview
Leicester City hosts Coventry City in this EFL Championship match. Leicester has a historically better head-to-head record but recent form favors Coventry. Both teams have shown goal-scoring ability, with Coventry stronger recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Coventry has won 4 of their last 5 matches with an average 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Leicester has struggled recently with 2 losses in last 5 and a weaker defense conceding 2.4 goals per match while scoring 0.
- Historically Leicester leads with 11 wins out of 25 meetings, Coventry 4, and 10 draws. Recent encounters, including the 2025 matches, show Leicester won 3, Coventry 1, and 2 draws. Past margin of victory often favors Leicester.
- No critical injury data available, but no major absences reported for key players on either side.
- Match played at home ground of Leicester City (King Power Stadium), giving Leicester slight home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal.
- Coventry shows higher recent motivation with better form and momentum aiming to climb the table, while Leicester seeks to stabilize under pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Coventry City: 169, Leicester City: 145, Draw: 230 | Coventry City | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Coventry City 0: 100, Leicester City 0: -120 | Leicester City +0 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -112 | Over 2.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Coventry City 35% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Coventry City at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coventry City to win on the moneyline, Leicester City +0 on the spread, and over 2.75 goals total
Predicted Score: 2-3