Match Analysis: Leganés vs Valladolid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Game Overview
Leganés host Valladolid in this La Liga clash at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. Leganés are currently in better form compared to Valladolid, who have been struggling with several losses recently. The match is expected to be tightly contested with defensive solidity prioritized by both teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leganés have a recent form of DDWLW, showing a resilient home performance, while Valladolid's form stands at LLLLL, indicating a poor run of form and diminished morale.
- Historically, matches between Leganés and Valladolid have been competitive but slightly favoring Leganés at home, with a trend towards low-scoring games.
- No significant injury news available for either side; both teams expected to field their strongest lineup.
- Playing at home provides Leganés with an advantage, supported by fan presence and familiarity with pitch conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal.
- Leganés have higher motivation to secure a win to cement their league standing, while Valladolid are under pressure due to their recent poor form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Leganés: -325, Valladolid: 800, Draw: 460 | Leganés win | ★★★★☆ 76% |
Spread | Leganés -1.5: -110, Valladolid +1.5: -110 | Leganés -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leganés -15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 41% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leganés are favored to win with a low-scoring match, likely finishing 2-0 with strong defensive displays and controlled game tempo.
Predicted Score: 2:0