Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Everton – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-18
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Elland Road
Game Overview
Leeds United return to the Premier League after winning the Championship with strong momentum, having an unbeaten run and home advantage, while Everton look to start positively with new signings but have had a poor pre-season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leeds are unbeaten in their last 13 matches across competitions, including a 10-game unbeaten finish last season, and have won 5 of the last 7 home matches; Everton struggled in pre-season with no wins in 6 games.
- Leeds have failed to beat Everton in their last 5 meetings, showing a slight historical advantage for Everton, but many matches ended close or in draws.
- Leeds miss Jaka Bijol (suspended) and have doubts over Jayden Bogle and Sebastian Bornauw; Everton injury status less specified but no major absences noted.
- Leeds are under pressure to establish themselves quickly in Premier League with managerial scrutiny; Everton start the season in a new stadium with a key signing (Jack Grealish) but low morale after poor pre-season.
- Leeds highly motivated to avoid immediate relegation and justify investment; Everton motivated to bounce back and justify new signings but may suffer from lack of pre-season confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Everton: 2.14, Leeds United: 1.38, Draw: 2.37 | Draw | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Everton +25: -122, Leeds United -0.25: 106 | Leeds United -0.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 104 | Over 2.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leeds United 28% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.25 -5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Leeds United at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 1-1