Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Nice – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Océane
Game Overview
Le Havre hosts Nice in a Ligue 1 match where historically Le Havre has had dominance at home against Nice. Nice is favored by bookmakers on the moneyline, but Le Havre has a solid home record and motivation to avoid defeat.
Key Factors to Consider
- Le Havre shows strong home performance with 4 wins and 2 draws in the last 6 home meetings against Nice. Nice has an injury list affecting key players including Terem Moffi and Hicham Boudaoui, potentially weakening offensive capability.
- Le Havre leads with 8 wins to Nice's 3 in their last 15 meetings and holds a positive goal difference of 19-10. Le Havre has never lost at home against Nice in the last 6 matches meeting with 4 wins and 2 draws.
- Nice is missing several key players, notably Terem Moffi (top forward), Hicham Boudaoui, and others, which could reduce their attacking and midfield efficiency. Le Havre has no significant reported absences.
- No significant external conditions reported. Match played at Le Havre’s home ground may provide them an advantage with the supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
- Le Havre is motivated to secure at least a point at home to maintain league position and build momentum, while Nice aims to start strong despite squad issues but face challenges with absent key players.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Le Havre: +255, Nice: +106, Draw: +252 | Nice | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Le Havre +25: +106, Nice -0.25: -126 | Nice -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nice 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nice moneyline win
Predicted Score: 0-1