Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
Game Overview
Las Palmas hosts Rayo Vallecano in a crucial La Liga match. Both teams are looking to improve their standings, with Las Palmas ranked 18th and Rayo Vallecano in 8th place.
Key Factors to Consider
- Las Palmas has struggled to find consistency this season, while Rayo Vallecano has shown strong form away from home.
- This season's previous match between the two teams did not yield significant head-to-head data, making recent form and standings more relevant.
- No major injury reports are available for this match.
- The home advantage could favor Las Palmas, but Rayo Vallecano's higher league position suggests they might have an edge tactically.
- Both teams are motivated, with Las Palmas aiming to avoid relegation and Rayo Vallecano seeking to secure a top-half finish.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Las Palmas: 140, Rayo Vallecano: 200, Draw: 230 | Draw or Rayo Vallecano | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Las Palmas: -0.25 105, Rayo Vallecano: 25 -125 | Rayo Vallecano +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 50% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Las Palmas 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match is expected, with Rayo Vallecano potentially having the upper hand due to their better league position and recent form.
Predicted Score: 1-1
