Match Analysis: Juventude vs Sao Paulo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-24
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil
Game Overview
Juventude hosts São Paulo in a Brasileirão Série A match where both teams are struggling with recent form and low scoring. Juventude sits in the relegation zone with poor home and overall form, while São Paulo is slightly higher in the table but has also experienced inconsistent results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Juventude has won only 1 of their last 5 matches and averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. São Paulo similarly has only 1 win in their last 5 games, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.8 on average.
- São Paulo holds a historical advantage over Juventude, having won more meetings in recent games. However, Juventude will try to leverage their unbeaten home record, which is under threat given recent form.
- No specific injury reports available, but both teams appear to have their usual squads with no major absences reported.
- Playing at home offers Juventude some advantage, but their low capacity stadium (about 20,000 seats) minimizes external impact. Both teams face pressure due to their position near relegation.
- Juventude is highly motivated to avoid relegation with 11 points after 13 matches, while São Paulo aims to consolidate and move upward in the table after ending a losing streak recently.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Juventude: 251, São Paulo: 125, Draw: 212 | São Paulo | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Juventude +25: -108, São Paulo -0.25: -112 | São Paulo -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2: -102, Under 2: -118 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sao Paulo 76% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 76% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
São Paulo to win the match narrowly with under 2 goals scored overall.
Predicted Score: 0-1