Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Wrexham AFC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich, England
Game Overview
Ipswich Town and Wrexham AFC meet in an EFL Championship match at Portman Road. Ipswich Town currently ranks 7th, demonstrating strong home form with a 67% win rate in recent home matches, while Wrexham stands 13th, showing resilience especially in defense with some notable away form. Ipswich is favored but Wrexham has shown the ability to score and maintain a solid defense in recent fixtures.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ipswich Town has won 3 out of 5 recent matches against Wrexham with a 60% win rate and strong home statistics including few losses and high goal scoring in second halves. Wrexham has performed well defensively in the last rounds conceding only 3 goals in 5 matches and scoring in 13 of their last 15 matches, suggesting a competitive away side.
- Recent matches show Ipswich winning 3 out of 5 with 1 draw and 1 loss, but Wrexham won the only previous Championship meeting 2-1 away. Overall head-to-head is mixed but Ipswich has a slight edge at home. Historic data highlights a competitive rivalry with each side winning some encounters.
- No specific current injury data available from sources. Both teams are expected to field near-full strength lineups based on latest available information.
- No adverse weather or external disruptions reported. The match will be played at Ipswich home ground, giving them familiar conditions and home crowd advantage.
- Ipswich Town is fighting for a higher Championship position and has a strong incentive to capitalize on home advantage. Wrexham, mid-table, aims to improve away form and challenge a top 10 side, adding motivation to get a positive result.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ipswich Town: -195, Wrexham AFC: 475, Draw: 295 | Ipswich Town win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Ipswich Town -1: -102, Wrexham AFC +1: -118 | Ipswich Town covers -1 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ipswich Town -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ipswich Town to win with a moderately high confidence due to superior home form, recent results, and bookmaker odds indicating strong favoritism. Wrexham may score but will likely struggle to secure a draw or win away.
Predicted Score: 2-0