Match Analysis: Ipswich Town vs Portsmouth – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Portman Road Stadium
Game Overview
Ipswich Town hosts Portsmouth in an EFL Championship match where Ipswich is favored given home advantage and slightly better recent form. Both teams have shown offensive capability but also defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting an open, competitive match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ipswich Town holds a moderate recent record (W-D-L-D-D) including 1 home win, showing inconsistency but resilience. Portsmouth have a balanced recent form (L-D-W-D-L-W), indicating variable performances but ability to contest strong sides.
- Historically, matchups have been competitive with no dominant trend; recent encounters have produced draws and split wins, underscoring tactical balance but slight home edge for Ipswich.
- No key injuries reported for either side at this time, maintaining squad strength and tactical options.
- Home crowd support at Portman Road and travel demands moderately favor Ipswich. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard for late September in England.
- Ipswich, currently higher in the league standings and considered promotion contenders, have more at stake to secure 3 points at home. Portsmouthβs motivation to disrupt and claim points on the road is significant but secondary.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ipswich Town: -193, Portsmouth: 450, Draw: 315 | Ipswich Town | β β β β β 73% |
Spread | Ipswich Town -1: -112, Portsmouth +1: -108 | Ipswich Town -1 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -102, Under 2.75: -118 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ipswich Town -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Single best value bets: Moneyline – Ipswich Town win, Spread – Ipswich Town -1, Over/Under – Over 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1